22 Years in Venture Secondaries | Abe Finkelstein | Superclusters | S5E9

abe finkelstein

โ€œBuying junk at a discount is still junk.โ€ โ€“ Abe Finkelstein

Abe Finkelstein, Managing Partner at Vintage, has been leading fund, secondary, and growth stage investments focused on fintech, gaming, and SMB software, among others, leading growth stage and secondary investments for Vintage in companies like Monday.com, Minute Media, Payoneer, MoonActive and Honeybook.

Prior to joining Vintage in 2003, Abe was an equity analyst with Goldman Sachs, covering Israel-based technology companies in a wide variety of sectors, including software, telecom equipment, networking, semiconductors, and satellite communications. While at Goldman Sachs, Abe, and the Israel team were highly ranked by both Thomson Extel and Institutional Investor. Prior to Goldman Sachs, Abe was Vice-President at U.S. Bancorp Piper Jaffray, where he helped launch and led the firmโ€™s Israel technology shares institutional sales effort. Before joining Piper, he was an Associate at Brown Brothers Harriman, covering the enterprise software and internet sectors. Abe began his career at Josephthal, Lyon, and Ross, joining one of the first research teams focused exclusively on Israel-based companies.

Abe graduated Magna Cum Laude from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania with a BS in Economics and a concentration in Finance.

Vintage Investment Partners is a global venture platform managing ~$4 billion across venture Fund of Funds, Secondary Funds, and Growth-Stage Funds focused on venture in the U.S., Europe, Israel, and Canada. Vintage is invested in many of the world’s leading venture funds and growth-stage tech startups striving to make a lasting impact on the world and has exposure directly and indirectly to over 6,000 technology companies.

You can find Abe on his socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/abe-finkelstein/

Listen to the episode onย Apple Podcastsย andย Spotify. You can alsoย watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[03:18] Abe’s first investment
[06:19] The definition of quality secondaries in 2003
[09:37] How did Abe know there would be capital to follow?
[15:45] Valuation methodology in the 2000s
[22:28] Minimum meaningful ownership for secondaries
[26:17] Why did founders take Vintage’s call in Fund I?
[30:41] The old-school way of tracking deal memos
[32:06] Our job is to play the optimist
[32:31] The headwinds of raising Vintage Fund I
[36:32] Moving Vintage’s physical books to the cloud
[39:06] How does Abe assign discounts to secondaries?
[42:23] Proactive outreach vs reactive deal flow
[46:18] What does Vintage do to stay top of mind?
[49:49] What’s changed in the secondaries market since 2000?
[55:32] Founder paranoia
[57:56] What does Abe want his legacy look like?

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œBuying junk at a discount is still junk.โ€ โ€“ Abe Finkelstein

โ€œEverything thatโ€™s going on in the market today, I actually feel people are overreacting to it because there are these ups and downs. Hopefully this current situation doesnโ€™t get people too freaked out because these are the times you want to be investing in. People just donโ€™t think that way. They see the blood on the streets and they run from it first, instead of going in.โ€ โ€“ Abe Finkelstein


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For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
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Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

Inside the 100-Year Family Office | Josh Kanter | Superclusters | S5E8

josh kanter

โ€œThe more you can create that context in the family owner’s manual, the more important it is and the more it is NOT the โ€˜in-case-of-emergencyโ€™ file. Because the in-case-of-emergency file is going to say Iโ€™m an LP in Fund VII from so-and-so and my withdrawal rights are such and such. Or hereโ€™s the document. You go figure out what my withdrawal rights are, if I have any.โ€ The owner’s manual teaches future generations what to prioritize and why. โ€“ Josh Kanter

Josh Kanter is the family office principal at Josh Kanter Wealth Advisory Services. He is also the founder & CEO at leafplanner, a comprehensive solution on planning for the 100-year time horizon for a family office, birthed out of his own need with his own family of creating an everlasting institution.

After decades as a lawyer, he went on to focus on his family business where he also currently serves as President of Chicago Financial, Inc., a single family office overseeing a complex organization of trusts, investment and philanthropic entities for a multi-branch and multi-generational family.

You can find Josh on his socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/joshua-kanter/

Listen to the episode onย Apple Podcastsย andย Spotify. You can alsoย watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[04:01] Art, sculptures and Jun Kaneko
[12:30] The inception of Walnut Capital Corp
[15:36] How Josh defines creativity
[17:03] Creating the “freedom trust”
[17:56] Where did the name leafplanner come from?
[20:03] How did Josh get involved in the family venture business?
[23:22] Top lessons from being startups’ legal advisor
[25:48] Lessons as an investor and LP
[27:57] Investing in America’s biggest fraud
[30:01] The origin of leafplanner
[38:15] How do you start a family owner’s manual
[40:03] The importance of prioritization and context in the manual
[45:35] How do you make a owner’s manual searchable?
[49:50] The five kinds of capital (intellectual, human, social, financial, spiritual)
[53:15] What is the role of luck in Josh’s life?
[54:31] Josh’s primary vice when saying no
[56:51] Post-credit scene

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œYouโ€™ve got great founders. That doesnโ€™t make them great CEOs.โ€ โ€“ Josh Kanter

โ€œI may not be the CEO of this company at some point. If I am not the person to take this forward, then letโ€™s bring in the person who is. Success is more important than my ego.โ€ โ€“ Josh Kanter

โ€œThe more you can create that context, the more important it is and the more it is not the โ€˜in-case-of-emergencyโ€™ file. Because the in-case-of-emergency file is going to say Iโ€™m an LP in Fund VII from so-and-so and my withdrawal rights are such and such. Or hereโ€™s the document. You go figure out what my withdrawal rights are, if I have any.โ€ โ€“ Josh Kanter

On cloud storage providers like Box, Dropbox, Google Drive and so on: โ€œEvery one of those systems relies on the brain that built the architecture of how you organize them. So I use Box. I have 225,000 documents in Box. Those 225,000 documents are organized on how Joshโ€™s brain works, so the folder structure [etc.].โ€ โ€“ Josh Kanter

โ€œFinancial capital should be looked at merely as a tool to grow the other capitals: [Intellectual, human, and social].โ€ โ€“ Josh Kanter


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
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Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

THE Most Entrepreneurial LP Out There | Narayan Chowdhury | Superclusters | S5E7

ritujoy narayan chowdhury

โ€œThis is one of the big issues of a bunch of data work on venture is insights from some periods donโ€™t mean anything or are not translatable to present time. Itโ€™s really frustrating. So we go back to people, reputations, and experience.โ€ โ€“ Narayan Chowdhury

Ritujoy Narayan Chowdhury is the co-founder and Managing Director at Franklin Park, where he focuses on private equity investment opportunities, monitoring clientsโ€™ portfolios and conducting industry research. He also plays a key role in the development and implementation of Franklin Parkโ€™s technology platform, and regularly interacts with clients on investment and portfolio matters.

Prior to Franklin Park, Narayan worked with Hamilton Lane and Public Financial Management. He is a CFA Charterholder and a member of the CFA Institute. Narayan received a B.A. in Mathematics and Economics from Bucknell University.

You can find Narayan on his socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/narayan-chowdhury/
X / Twitter: https://x.com/RNC76

Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[02:27] Why my parents moved to the US
[03:43] Narayan’s dad
[08:54] The friction that Narayan has with his team
[11:59] Why current analyst training creates bad habits
[15:00] What Narayan does when his family goes to bed
[16:37] When did Narayan first start playing with code?
[17:34] Narayan’s entrepreneurial origins and how much he got paid
[19:54] “Never sit alone at lunch”
[22:54] The Mike Maples story
[25:48] When Narayan realized VC is very different from PE
[30:05] The difference between underwriting VC and buyout
[34:28] What do you do when you’ve pigeonholed yourself in one industry?
[37:02] How do you know if a GP is a core part of an alumni network?
[38:32] A 2025 micro trend of misleading operating metrics
[43:40] How has VC changed in the past few decades?
[53:58] What do most people underappreciate about hockey?

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œEvery moment that [my daughter] is here and Iโ€™m not with her is a moment weโ€™ll never get back.โ€ โ€“ Narayan Chowdhury

โ€œEvery action should not be a wasted action, should not be duplicative, should be the best use of a personโ€™s time. So any tool that we build that is contrary to that should be reevaluated constantly.โ€ โ€“ Narayan Chowdhury

“What do you do when you don’t know anything, you haven’t met anybody, you have no context, the human brain starts inventing rationale.” โ€“ Narayan Chowdhury

โ€œNever sit alone at lunch.โ€ โ€“ Alan Patricof

โ€œLooking backwards on track records in venture can be very scary decisions. It could be that the prior funds were completely passive throw-ins on a cap table where they were following some social cues in a ZIRP environment and perhaps they got lucky. Whether they were part of a giant outcome [or not], it sort of meaningless for the future because neither the syndicate nor the founder really know who that person ever was. And so, the go-forward benefit of that investment decision is zero versus โ€˜We were the trusted investor for that founder.โ€™ Not all prior track records are the same. We have to go back to why, going forward, are founders going to seek out or accept those dollars.โ€ โ€“ Narayan Chowdhury
*ZIRP: zero interest-rate policy

โ€œIโ€™d rather go bankrupt than lose this AI race.โ€ โ€“ Larry Page

โ€œThe problem is that the barriers to entry on that strategy [to deploy a lot of capital] are pretty low. And you get killed โ€“ death by a thousand cuts โ€“ when youโ€™re not the only one trying to flood the market with capital and outcompeting on price.โ€ โ€“ Narayan Chowdhury

โ€œThis is one of the big issues of a bunch of data work on venture is insights from some periods donโ€™t mean anything or are not translatable to present time. Itโ€™s really frustrating. So we go back to people, reputations, and experience.โ€ โ€“ Narayan Chowdhury


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
Follow Superclusters on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@super.clusters
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Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

How to Bet on the Underdog | Matt Curtolo | Superclusters | S5E6

matt curtolo

โ€œThe bigger you get, the more established you get, the more underwriting emphasis goes into how this team operates as a structure rather than is there a star?โ€ โ€“ Matt Curtolo

Matt Curtolo, CAIA is a seasoned private markets investor and allocator with over two decades of experience at leading financial institutions. Throughout his career, he has been directly responsible for allocating more than $6 billion in commitments to private market investments and maintains relationships with hundreds of general partner relationships across the full spectrum of private capital strategies.

Most recently, as Head of Investments at Allocate, a venture-backed fintech startup. Matt built the investment capability from the ground up, broadening access to top-tier venture capital opportunities for the private wealth market. Prior to this, he served as a senior leader at MetLife, serving on the investment committee, co-managing their global alternatives portfolio and leading the firm’s US Buyout portfolio. Earlier in his career, Matt led all private equity activities as Head of Private Equity at Hirtle Callaghan, a large independent outsourced Chief Investment Officer (oCIO). Matt’s foundational experience was gained at Hamilton Lane during its early growth phase, before it became the world’s preeminent private markets allocator, in research, investment and client-facing roles. Matt currently holds several advisory positions that span start-ups, asset management firms and fund of funds. He also manages his own advice practice, providing GPs with strategic guidance on strategy, fundraising and investor relations.

You can find Matt on his socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/matt-curtolo-caia/

Listen to the episode onย Apple Podcastsย andย Spotify. You can alsoย watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[04:24] What town did Matt grow up in?
[04:37] Why is that town significant from a sociological perspective?
[08:43] Why is Matt fascinated with the Detroit Lions?
[11:08] What is it like cheering for the underdog?
[13:02] How does Matt break down deal attribution in partnerships?
[18:04] GPs’ karmic bank account
[21:29] What is the kindest thing anyone’s done for Matt?
[23:24] How did tennis enter Matt’s life?
[26:35] Historical examples of VC management/leadership structures
[29:33] Underwriting track record between senior and junior investors
[32:23] How Matt approaches diligence after reading the data room
[39:30] How do you know when you’ve asked enough questions?
[42:37] The three classes of questions for GPs that influence investment decisions
[45:34] Remote culture
[50:16] Cadence of in-person gatherings in remote teams
[52:48] The two (and a half) types of conversations to always host in-person
[58:37] The last great idea Matt had on a walk
[1:02:05] The legacy Matt wants to leave behind
[1:04:37] Post-credit scene

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œPartnerships are incredibly hard to evaluate because not only are you evaluating each of the individualโ€™s capabilities independently, but is it a one plus one equals three situation?โ€ โ€“ Matt Curtolo

โ€œThe bigger you get, the more established you get, the more underwriting emphasis goes into how this team operates as a structure rather than is there a star?โ€ โ€“ Matt Curtolo

โ€œData gives me questions, not answers.โ€ โ€“ Matt Curtolo

โ€œThe dopamine you get from planning something versus the actual experience itself are wildly different.โ€ โ€“ Matt Curtolo


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
Follow Superclusters on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@super.clusters
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Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

You’re Looking at Networks Wrong | Albert Azout | Superclusters | S5E5

albert azout

โ€œNetworks are more persistent than performance.โ€ โ€“ Albert Azout

Albert Azout is the Co-Founder and Managing Partner of Level Ventures, a technology investment firm built on software and data science and invests in both entrepreneurs and venture capital managers, including the likes of Air Street Capital, Emergent Ventures and Work-Bench, just to name a few. Prior to Level, Albert has been a serial founder, starting analytics businesses and even a social media company before Facebook.

You can find Albert on his socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/albertazout/
Substack: http://albertazout.substack.com/

Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[02:36] The origin of Albert’s blog
[04:45] How did Albert first start coding?
[07:43] Albert’s interest in networks
[13:10] Entrepreneurship around Albert
[16:27] What is collaborative filtering?
[22:18] How complexity economics affect the networks of VCs?
[27:14] Fear and greed regimes
[28:51] Telltale signs that inform the kind of regime you’re in
[30:31] Why it’s the wrong time to be investing in defense tech
[34:53] What are most LPs missing about GP networks?
[37:31] How is Level Ventures looking at networks differently?
[44:42] Archetypes of GPs that Albert likes
[46:43] The 3 advantages GPs need to have
[55:02] How does Albert balance over- vs under-diligencing?
[57:15] Albert’s view on luck
[57:47] Albert the “consciousness expert”

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œYou have to have an understanding of the regime youโ€™re in for you to make good decisions as an investor.โ€ โ€“ Albert Azout

โ€œPrice reflects the inefficiencies of the market.โ€ โ€“ Albert Azout

โ€œWhat really matters is what youโ€™re hearing around you. When you hear overly coherent narratives, thatโ€™s a big thing for me. And it happens in subcycles as well. […] But when people are behaving and making decisions based on narratives that are overly coherent, thatโ€™s a big sign. Thatโ€™s a very social problem.โ€ โ€“ Albert Azout

โ€œWhat you want to see in a venture company which youโ€™re looking for huge outliers, is you want to see increasing returns to scale. You want to see demand-side feedback loops, where you have very low marginal costs of distribution. And that requires mostly winner-take-all, or winner-take-most kinds of markets.โ€ โ€“ Albert Azout

โ€œYou want to be pre-narrative. You want to position your capital in an area where the supply of capital increases over time and where those assets will be traded at a premium.โ€ โ€“ Albert Azout

โ€œNetworks are more persistent than performance.โ€ โ€“ Albert Azout

โ€œVenture is simple but hard.โ€ โ€“ Albert Azout

โ€œWe look for GPs who have one, a network advantage and two, a knowledge advantage โ€“ both of which have to be not redundant and economically important. And the third thing is the fund strategy itself. Thereโ€™s a lot of nuances but there are two things that are important. One is that it has to be an outlier. […] It has to have the right construction for us. […] My second point is more important. It involves game theory, which is the competitive dynamics in the market. โ€ โ€“ Albert Azout


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
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Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

When an Olympic Daydreamer Becomes an LP Whisperer | Asher Siddiqui | Superclusters | S5E4

asher siddiqui

“What I hear from LPs is that the market is important. And of course, the market IS important. And I think that thatโ€™s true. But if you truly believe in venture as a purist, then all of it is irrelevant because at any point in time, someone will come and have this unique insight. And the timing is against them. The world is against them. Theyโ€™re in the wrong place at the wrong time, and yet, they have this unique insight at this point in time. They have the opportunity to invest at this point in time. And so, just because the timing is wrong doesnโ€™t mean you shouldnโ€™t be backing them. Because they might be right. And you might be missing out on the best opportunity in your lifetime.”

Asher Siddiqui is a global tech investor, M&A dealmaker, and venture fund builder with over 25 years of hands-on experience across venture capital, entrepreneurship, and more than $15B in executed M&A transactions.

He began his career as a software engineer and entrepreneur in the US and UK before spending a decade leading M&A and corporate venture at Etisalat Group (now e& Group), one of the worldโ€™s largest listed TMT investment groups. There, he led acquisitions, exits, and strategic transactions across multiple continents.

In 2016, Asher joined the global leadership team at 500 Startups in San Francisco, helping scale the platform to $2B+ AUM, with a portfolio that includes 35+ unicorns and 160+ centaurs.

Since then, he has helped launch and scale several institutional VC firmsโ€”including Race Capital, Lumikai, Sukna Ventures, Zayn VC, and Humanrace Capitalโ€”and serves on the advisory boards of funds such as FootPrint Coalition Ventures, Merus Capital, and The Treasury.

To date, Asher has made 100+ venture investments (both direct and LP), raised hundreds of millions in LP commitments, mentored hundreds of emerging VC managers globally, and advised countless founders.

You can find Asher on his socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ashersiddiqui/
X / Twitter: https://x.com/ashercdkey

Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[03:36] Why doesn’t Asher like the saying ‘The sky’s the limit?’
[07:20] The launch of CNBC Africa
[15:25] How do two competing personalities create one of the largest media empires in the world?
[17:39] Combining vision and execution
[21:22] Asher’s framework for executing on a vision
[31:00] Why Asher was the youngest Global Head of M&A of a major telecom business
[43:57] What sets a great investor apart from a great fund manager
[45:27] Roleplaying a GP thinking about secondaries
[51:44] What do most LPs underestimate and overestimate
[58:24] Most telling predictors of outperforming GPs
[1:07:13] The best wine and food for each situation
[1:12:25] Asher’s Vinod Khosla story

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œThe best opportunities are the opportunities that arenโ€™t obvious to anyone.โ€ โ€“ Asher Siddiqui

โ€œExecution is nothing without a vision, and vision is nothing without execution.โ€ โ€“ Asher Siddiqui

โ€œIf only there was an Olympic sport called daydreaming, then Asher will be a gold medalist every time.โ€ โ€“ Asher Siddiquiโ€™s mom

โ€œWhat was less relevant was the number; what was more important was the process.โ€ โ€“ Asher Siddiqui

โ€œIf you ask the baseline obvious questions, you get the obvious responses.โ€ โ€“ Asher Siddiqui

โ€œYou have to be thinking about exits because if youโ€™re so laser-focused on building your portfolio and not thinking about exits, then maybe youโ€™re a great investor, but not a great fund manager.โ€ โ€“ Asher Siddiqui

On investors selling secondariesโ€ฆ โ€œYou may choose to take some off the table. And this is a market risk, not a specific lack of belief in the founder. I cannot tell you what the right answer is. What I can tell you is what Iโ€™m interested in backing are fund managers that are in the pursuit of truth, and theyโ€™re making the best judgment calls in the pursuit of truth that they can at this point in time, based on the data they have available.โ€ โ€“ Asher Siddiqui

โ€œThere is no right or wrong answer. Because you may get it right this time โ€“ you may get it wrong this time โ€“ what matters is-… This is Fund III, right? What about Fund VI or Fund VII or Fund VIII? Are you building a culture for you to continue to build a team that has this culture to continuously follow and pursue this pursuit of truth for the best outcomes based on the process that you have, as opposed to just shooting from the hip and gut instinct, which is great while youโ€™re around. But when you retire and your firmโ€™s going on, youโ€™ve basically created a culture where people shoot from the hip and maybe the people who come after you are not as good as you.โ€ โ€“ Asher Siddiqui

โ€œExiting a position in a company to return DPI to LPs is not a reflection of your stance on the company, but your stance on the market.โ€ โ€“ Asher Siddiqui

Why LPs should go to annual meetingsโ€ฆ โ€œIโ€™m looking for a minimum of one insight that I can take away, and Iโ€™m hoping to ask one intelligent question that will stand out as a credible LP in the minds of the GP.โ€ โ€“ Asherโ€™s Swedish pension allocator friend

โ€œWhat I hear from LPs is that the market is important. And of course, the market IS important. And I think that thatโ€™s true. But if you truly believe in venture as a purist, then all of it is irrelevant because at any point in time, someone will come and have this unique insight. And the timing is against them. The world is against them. Theyโ€™re in the wrong place at the wrong time, and yet, they have this unique insight at this point in time. They have the opportunity to invest at this point in time. And so, just because the timing is wrong doesnโ€™t mean you shouldnโ€™t be backing them. Because they might be right. And you might be missing out on the best opportunity in your lifetime. And thatโ€™s what is beautiful. That it is a people game.

โ€œSo, when I hear people talk about scaling venture, what the fuck are you talking about? Venture is not scalable. There are things that you can scale. There are processes that you can scale. But ultimately, you still have to rely upon finding those people and finding them at the right time โ€“ and the right time could be the โ€˜wrongโ€™ time โ€“ but finding them when they find that opportunity and when they see that meaningful insight. Iโ€™ve heard people say itโ€™s not thesis-driven; itโ€™s market-driven. No, I disagree. I think itโ€™s both of those. But actually itโ€™s individual-driven if you can find that person.โ€ โ€“ Asher Siddiqui


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
Follow Superclusters on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@super.clusters
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Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

Why Individuals Can Be Better than Teams | Sean Warrington | Superclusters | S5E3

sean warrington

โ€œSome of the best investments, as we look back in history, were never obvious at the moment the investments were made. You may not have to be contrarian, but you have to have a variant perception than the rest of the market. Maybe you saw the team differently. You saw the space growing differently. That, to us, inherently, is a single decision maker-type thought process at the earliest stage, when itโ€™s less about metrics. Itโ€™s more about how you evaluate the talent and the team.โ€ โ€“ Sean Warrington

Sean Warrington leads private market investing at Gresham Partners, a $10 billion multi-family office based in Chicago. Known for being a transparent and user-friendly LP, he and the Gresham team aim to simplify the fundraising process โ€” offering single-check investments, a streamlined diligence process, and prompt, candid feedback to GPs.

You can find Sean on his socials here:
X / Twitter: https://x.com/srwarrington
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/srwarrington/

Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[03:29] Who is Jeff French?
[05:26] The metrics for success for a junior LP
[07:20] The 3 chapters of Sean’s evolution as an LP
[11:05] Sean’s first investment
[14:44] When GPs put LPs on strict timelines
[16:53] One archetype of GP that Sean is excited about
[19:37] What it looks like to be thoughtful when growing AUM
[23:16] What most LPs don’t understand about solo GPs
[25:58] What happens when a GP leaves a partnership
[27:33] The definition of LP/GP alignment
[30:47] Reference archetypes and how to find them
[35:32] How to manage bandwidths in a small team
[38:58] Frameworks for taking calls
[42:26] How much does Sean travel?
[43:25] Why coffee chats don’t work
[45:30] What Sean’s changed his mind on about investing
[47:12] What did Jason Kelce’s retirement mean to Sean?
[49:36] Post-credit scene

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SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œIf youโ€™re 60-70% of the time picking good managers, I think youโ€™re pretty good at this industry.โ€ โ€“ Sean Warrington

โ€œFrameworks are not foolproof. What theyโ€™re designed to do is help us focus on places where we can get to an eventual yes.โ€ โ€“ Sean Warrington

โ€œWe donโ€™t want a slow no. A slow no is bad for everybody.โ€ โ€“ Sean Warrington

โ€œSome of the best investments, as we look back in history, were never obvious at the moment the investments were made. You may not have to be contrarian, but you have to have a variant perception than the rest of the market. Maybe you saw the team differently. You saw the space growing differently. That, to us, inherently, is a single decision maker-type thought process at the earliest stage, when itโ€™s less about metrics. Itโ€™s more about how you evaluate the talent and the team.โ€ โ€“ Sean Warrington

โ€œOne thing LPs are bad at remembering is we are exceptionally diversified investors. For us, to have anything even be 1% โ€“ even a manager being a single percent of the overall pool of capital โ€“ is very difficult to do. Many times weโ€™re talking about basis points.โ€ โ€“ Sean Warrington

โ€œThe big risk that LPs donโ€™t appreciateโ€ฆ Thereโ€™s this view that these two- and three-person teams coming together create this better judgment. What theyโ€™re not factoring in is that these are somewhat forced marriages. These are people who may or may not have long histories together. They may not have great bedside manner when theyโ€™re in the thick of it.โ€ โ€“ Sean Warrington


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
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Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

You’re Doing Diligence Wrong | Raviv Sapir | Superclusters | S5E2

raviv sapir

โ€œMost references will not give a negative reference about someone, but you will have to understand and listen between the lines. What is a good or a bad reference? They might say, โ€˜I really like him as a person. Heโ€™s really nice.โ€™ But this is a person thatโ€™s worked together with you in a team, and youโ€™re not saying heโ€™s great with founders or finding the best deals. Maybe heโ€™s not that good.โ€ โ€“ Raviv Sapir

Raviv Sapir is an early-stage investor at Vinthera, a fund of funds and venture firm with a hybrid strategy that combines VC fund investments with direct startup investments. With a background in tech and finance, an MBA from HEC Paris, and years of experience mentoring startups and supporting LPs, Raviv brings a sharp eye for high-conviction opportunities and a practical approach to venture. He previously held product roles at leading Israeli startups and served in a technological unit within the Israeli Defense Forces. His work across geographies, sectors, and investment stages gives him a uniquely holistic and global perspective on the venture ecosystem.

You can find Raviv on his socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raviv-sapir/

Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[03:31] Swimming since he was 7
[09:49] Breaking down each GP’s track record and dynamics in a partnership
[11:25] Telltale signs that a partnership will last
[12:50] An example of questionable GP dynamics
[21:45] Virtual partnerships
[25:43] GPs working out of coworking spaces
[28:30] Commonly held LP assumptions
[32:16] A big red flag GPs often say
[34:27] What does Raviv look for during reference calls?
[39:41] How does the diligence change for a Fund I/II vs Fund III/IV?
[42:26] Qualitative traits Raviv likes to see in a Fund I GP vs Fund II+ GP
[44:04] Ideal cadence of reporting and LP/GP touchpoints
[46:03] Role of the LPAC across different funds
[48:47] Diligence as a function of check size
[54:37] What’s Raviv’s favorite episode of Venture Unlocked?
[56:23] The podcasts that Raviv listens to

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SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œSome of the small funds perform better but a lot of themโ€“… they perform much worse because the variance in their performance is so big. You might have good odds of succeeding with a small fund but very high odds of performing way worse than the bigger funds.โ€ โ€“ Raviv Sapir

โ€œGPs are great at selling. โ€˜Every time is the best time to invest.โ€™โ€ โ€“ Raviv Sapir

โ€œMost [references] will not give a negative reference about someone, but you will have to understand and listen between the lines. What is a good or a bad reference? They might say, โ€˜I really like him as a person. Heโ€™s really nice.โ€™ But this is a person thatโ€™s worked together with you in a team, and youโ€™re not saying heโ€™s great with founders or finding the best deals. Maybe heโ€™s not that good.โ€ โ€“ Raviv Sapir

โ€œโ€˜Interestingโ€™, especially in the US, is used in a negative way.โ€ โ€“ Raviv Sapir


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
Follow Superclusters on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@super.clusters
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Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

How to Start a Single Family Office | Scott Saslow | Superclusters | S5E1

scott saslow

โ€œA lot of family office principals, unless theyโ€™ve worked in finance โ€“ they should not be solely making the decision on which RIA to hire.โ€ โ€“ Scott Saslow

Scott Saslow is the founder, CEO, and family office principal for ONE WORLD. He’s also the founder and CEO of The Institute of Executive Development, as well as the author of Building a Sustainable Family Office: An Insider’s Guide to What Works and What Doesn’t, which at the time of the podcast launch is the only book written for family office principals by a family office principal. Scott is also the host of the podcast Family Office Principals where he interviews principals on how families can be made to be more resilient. Prior, heโ€™s also found independent success at both Microsoft and Seibel Systems.

You can find Scott on his socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/scott-d-saslow-46620/
Website: https://www.oneworld.investments/
Family Office Principals’ Podcast: https://oneworldinvestments.substack.com/podcast

Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[02:09] The significance of ‘ojos abiertos’
[05:49] Scott’s relationship with his dad
[07:46] The irony of Scott’s first job
[11:19] Family business vs family office
[13:50] The corporate structure of a family office
[17:39] From multi family office to single family office
[18:54] The steps to pick a MFO to work with
[22:37] The 3 main functions a family office has
[31:00] Why Scott passed on SpaceX
[36:07] Why Scott invested in Ulu Ventures
[44:23] What makes Dan Morse special

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œA lot of family office principals, unless theyโ€™ve worked in finance โ€“ they should not be solely making the decision on which RIA to hire.โ€ โ€“ Scott Saslow

โ€œThe three main functions that family offices tend to have are investment management, accounting and taxes, and estate planning and legal.โ€ โ€“ Scott Saslow


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
Follow Superclusters on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@super.clusters
Follow Superclusters on Instagram: https://instagram.com/super.clusters


Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

35 Biggest Investing Lessons from 4 Seasons of Superclusters

piggy bank, investing, coin

The title says it all. I’m four seasons in and I’m fortunate to have learned from some of the best and most thoughtful individuals in the LP industry. I often joke with friends that Superclusters allows me to ask dumb questions to smart people. But there’s quite a bit of truth there as well. I look back in Season 1, and I’m proud to see the evolution of my questions as well.

There was a piece back in 2022 where Johns Hopkins’ Jeff Hooke said that “75% of funds insist they are in the top quartile.” To my anecdotal knowledge, that seems to hold. I might say 75% of angel investors starting their first funds say they’re top quartile. And 90% of Fund IIs say their Fund Is are top quartile. So the big looming question as an LP is how do you know which are and which aren’t.

And if we were all being honest with each other, the first five years of returns and IRRs really aren’t indicative of the fund’s actual performance. In fact, Stepstone had a recent piece that illustrated fewer than 50% of top-quartile funds at Year 5 stay there by Year 10. 30% fall to second quartile. 13% slip to third. 9% fall from grace to the bottom quartile. But only 3.7% of bottom-quartile funds make it to the top quartile after its 10-year run (on a net TVPI basis).

I’ve enjoyed every single podcast episode I’ve recorded to date. And all the offline conversations that I’ve had because of the podcast itself. Nevertheless, it’s always fascinating when I learn something for the first time on the podcast while we’re recording. Excluding the longer lessons some of our guests have shared (I’m looking at you Evan, Charlotte, and much much more), below are the many Twitter-worthy (not calling it X) soundbites that have come up in the podcast so far.

  1. โ€œEntrepreneurship is like a gas. Itโ€™s hottest when itโ€™s compressed.โ€ โ€” Chris Douvos
  2. โ€œIโ€™m looking for well-rounded holes that are made up of jagged pieces that fit together nicely.โ€ โ€” Chris Douvos
  3. โ€œIf you provide me exposure to the exact same pool of startups [as] another GP of mine, then unfortunately, you donโ€™t have proprietary deal flow for me. You donโ€™t enhance my network diversification.โ€ โ€” Jamie Rhode
  4. โ€œSell when you can, not when you have to.โ€ โ€” Howard Lindzon
  5. โ€œWhen you think about investing in any fund, youโ€™re really looking at three main components. Itโ€™s sourcing ability. Are you seeing the deals that fit within whatever business model youโ€™re executing on? Do you have some acumen for picking? And then, the third is: what is your ability to win? Have you proven your ability to win, get into really interesting deals that mightโ€™ve been either oversubscribed or hard to get into? Were you able to do your pro rata into the next round because you added value? And we also look through the lens of: Does this person have some asymmetric edge on at least two of those three things?โ€ โ€” Samir Kaji
  6. โ€œ85% of returns flow to 5% of the funds, and that those 5% of the funds are very sticky. So we call that the โ€˜Champions League Effect.โ€™โ€ โ€” Jaap Vriesendorp
  7. โ€œThe truth of the matter, when we look at the data, is that entry points matter much less than the exit points. Because venture is about outliers and outliers are created through IPOs, the exit window matters a lot. And to create a big enough exit window to let every vintage that we create in the fund of funds world to be a good vintage, we invest [in] pre-seed and seed funds โ€“ that invest in companies that need to go to the stock market maybe in 7-8 years. Then Series A and Series B equal โ€˜early stage.โ€™ And everything later than that, we call โ€˜growth.โ€™โ€ โ€” Jaap Vriesendorp
  8. โ€œ[When] youโ€™re generally looking at four to five hundred distinct companies, 10% of those companies generally drive most of the returns. You want to make sure that the company that drives the returns you are invested in with the manager where you size it appropriately relative to your overall fund of funds. So when we double click on our funds, the top 10 portfolio companies โ€“ not the funds, but portfolio companies, return sometimes multiples of our fund of funds.โ€ โ€” Aram Verdiyan
  9. โ€œIf youโ€™re overly concentrated, you better be damn good at your job โ€˜cause you just raised the bar too high.โ€ โ€” Beezer Clarkson
  10. โ€œ[David Marquardt] said, โ€˜You know what? Youโ€™re a well-trained institutional investor. And your decision was precisely right and exactly wrong.โ€™ And sometimes that happens. In this business, sometimes good decisions have bad outcomes and bad decisions have good outcomes.โ€ โ€” Chris Douvos
  11. โ€œMiller Motorcars doesnโ€™t accept relative performance for least payments on your Lamborghini.โ€ โ€” Chris Douvos
  12. โ€œThe biggest leverage on time you can get is identifying which questions are the need-to-haves versus nice-to-haves and knowing when enough work is enough.โ€ โ€” John Felix
  13. โ€œIn venture, we donโ€™t look at IRR at all because manipulating IRR is far too easy with the timing of capital calls, credit lines, and various other levers that can be pulled by the GP.โ€ โ€” Evan Finkel
  14. โ€œThe average length of a VC fund is double that of a typical American marriage. So VC splits โ€“ divorce โ€“ is much more likely than getting hit by a bus.โ€ โ€” Raida Daouk
  15. โ€œHistorically, if you look at the last 10 years of data, it would suggest that multiple [of the premium of a late stage valuation to seed stage valuation] should cover around 20-25 times. [โ€ฆ] In 2021, that number hit 42 times. [โ€ฆ] Last year, that number was around eight.โ€ โ€” Rick Zullo (circa 2024)
  16. โ€œThe job and the role that goes most unseen by LPs and everybody outside of the firm is the role of the culture keeper.โ€ โ€” Ben Choi
  17. โ€œYou can map out what your ideal process is, but itโ€™s actually the depth of discussion that the internal team has with one another. [โ€ฆ] You have to define what your vision for the firm is years out, in order to make sure that youโ€™re setting those people up for success and that they have a runway and a growth path and that they feel empowered and they feel like theyโ€™re learning and theyโ€™re contributing as part of the brand. And so much of what happens there, it does tie back to culture [โ€ฆ] Thereโ€™s this amazing, amazing commercial that Michael Phelps did, [โ€ฆ] and the tagline behind it was โ€˜Itโ€™s what you do in the dark that puts you in the light.โ€™โ€ โ€” Lisa Cawley
  18. โ€œIn venture, LPs are looking for GPs with loaded dice.โ€ โ€” Ben Choi
  19. โ€œIf I hire someone, I donโ€™t really want to hire right out of school. I want to hire someone with a little bit of professional experience. And I want someone whoโ€™s been yelled at. [โ€ฆ] I donโ€™t want to have to triple check work. I want to be able to build trust. Going and getting that professional experience somewhere, even if itโ€™s at a startup or venture firm. Having someone have oversight on you and [push] you to do excellent work and [help] you understand why it mattersโ€ฆ High quality output can help you gain so much trust.โ€ โ€” Jaclyn Freeman Hester
  20. โ€œLPs watch the movie, but donโ€™t read the book.โ€ โ€” Ben Choi
  21. โ€œIf itโ€™s not documented, itโ€™s not done.โ€ โ€” Lisa Cawley
  22. โ€œIf somebody is so good that they can raise their own fund, thatโ€™s exactly who you want in your partnership. You want your partnership of equals that decide to get together, not just are so grateful to have a chance to be here, but theyโ€™re not that great.โ€ โ€” Ben Choi
  23. โ€œWhen you bring people in as partners, being generous around compensating them from funds they did not build can help create alignment because theyโ€™re not sitting there getting rich off of something that started five years ago and exits in ten years. So theyโ€™re kind of on an island because everybody else is in a different economic position and that can be very isolating.โ€ โ€” Jaclyn Freeman Hester
  24. โ€œNeutral references are worse than negative references.โ€ โ€” Kelli Fontaine
  25. โ€œEverybody uses year benchmarking, but thatโ€™s not the appropriate way to measure. We have one fund manager that takes five years to commit the capital to do initial investments versus a manager that does it all in a year. Youโ€™re gonna look very, very different. Ten years from now, 15 years from now, then you can start benchmarking against each other from that vintage.โ€ โ€” Kelli Fontaine
  26. โ€œWe are not in the Monte Carlo simulation game at all; weโ€™re basically an excel spreadsheet.โ€ โ€” Jeff Rinvelt
  27. โ€œA lot of those skills [to be a fund manager] are already baked in. The one that wasnโ€™t baked in for a lot of these firms was the exit manager โ€“ the ones that help you sell. [โ€ฆ] If you donโ€™t have it, there should be somebody that itโ€™s their job to look at exits. โ€ โ€” Jeff Rinvelt
  28. โ€œGetting an LP is like pulling a weight with a string of thread. If you pull too hard, the string snaps. If you donโ€™t pull hard enough, you donโ€™t pull the weight at all. Itโ€™s this very careful balancing act of moving people along in a process.โ€ โ€” Dan Stolar
  29. โ€œGoing to see accounts before budgets are set helps get your brand and your story in the mind of the budget setter. In the case of the US, budgets are set in January and July, depending on the fiscal year. In the case of Japan, budgets are set at the end of March, early April. To get into the budget for Tokyo, you gotta be working with the client in the fall to get them ready to do it for the next fiscal year. [For] Korea, the budgets are set in January, but they donโ€™t really get executed on till the first of April. So thereโ€™s time in there where you can work on those things. The same thing is true with Europe. A lot of budgets are mid-year. So you develop some understanding of patterns. You need to give yourself, for better or worse if youโ€™re raising money, two to three years of relationship-building with clients.โ€ โ€” David York
  30. โ€œMany pension plans, especially in America, put blinders on. โ€˜Donโ€™t tell me what Iโ€™m paying my external managers. I really want to focus and make sure weโ€™re not overpaying our internal people.โ€™ And so then it becomes, you canโ€™t ignore the external fees because the internal costs and external fees are related.ย If you pay great people internally, you can push back on the external fees. If you donโ€™t pay great people internally, then youโ€™re a price taker.โ€ โ€” Ashby Monk
  31. โ€œYou need to realize that when the managers tell you that itโ€™s only the net returns that matter. Theyโ€™re really hoping youโ€™ll just accept that as a logic thatโ€™s sound. What theyโ€™re hoping you donโ€™t question them on is the difference between your gross return and your net return is an investment in their organization. And that is a capability that will compound in its value over time. And then they will wield that back against you and extract more fees from you, which is why the alternative investment industry in the world today isย where most of the profits in the investment industry are capturedย and captured by GPs.โ€ โ€” Ashby Monk
  32. โ€œI often tell pensions you should pay people at the 49th percentile. So, just a bit less than average. So that the people going and working there also share the mission. They love the mission โ€˜cause that actually is, in my experience, the magic of the culture in these organizations that you donโ€™t want to lose.โ€ โ€” Ashby Monk
  33. โ€œThe thing about working with self-motivated people and driven people, on their worst day, they are pushing themselves very hard and your job is to reduce the stress in that conversation.โ€ โ€” Nakul Mandan
  34. โ€œI only put the regenerative part of a wealth pool into venture. [โ€ฆ] That number โ€“ how much money you are putting into venture capital per year largely dictates which game youโ€™re playing.โ€ โ€” Jay Rongjie Wang
  35. โ€œWhen investing in funds, you are investing in a blind pool of human potential.โ€ โ€” Adam Marchick

Photo by Andre Taissin on Unsplash


Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.