Peter Walker as You’ve Never Seen Him Before | Peter Walker | Superclusters | S6PSE3

peter walker

โ€œYouโ€™re making decisions in an incomplete vacuum. What I think many people should do more of, in terms of those mental models, is frame it in the reverse. Which of these decisions am I going to make that is the most regret-minimizing? That I have the least likelihood of regretting later on in life, assuming that in most cases, I will be wrong.โ€ โ€” Peter Walker

The holiday season has always been a great time to celebrate the movers and shakers in our world. This season we’re celebrating my personal favorites in the VC and startup world. This episode, it’s with my man, Peter Walker, who creates some of the industry’s most talked charts and graphics around the ebbs and flows of tech innovation.

Peter Walker runs the Insights team at Carta, where he works to make startups a little less opaque for founders, investors, and employees. Prior to Carta, he was a marketing executive for the media analytics startup PublicRelay and led a data visualization team at The Atlantic magazine. He lives in San Francisco, but you can find him on LinkedIn (see links below).

You can find Peter on his socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/peterjameswalker/
X / Twitter: https://x.com/PeterJ_Walker

Listen to the episode onย Apple Podcastsย andย Spotify. You can alsoย watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[02:52] Peter’s first brush with entrepreneurship
[11:49] 996 work culture
[17:11] Peter’s disclaimer on his data
[21:27] Regret-minimization when investing
[24:24] One example of regret-minimization
[26:07] How does Peter choose which conferences to go to?
[29:33] Conference panels are often bad
[36:22] The incongruencies of what GPs say publicly and privately
[41:43] Peter’s first data visualization
[44:18] Why is soccer underrated in the US?
[46:10] What great lengths has Peter gone for his friends?
[48:21] One worrisome trend we’re going to see in 2026
[52:18] One optimistic trend to look forward to in 2026

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œNo one has to force you to work long hours if you really want to. The founders and early employees who push hardest arenโ€™t usually doing it because someone set the office lights to stay on until midnight. Theyโ€™re doing it because they care. Itโ€™s not obedienceโ€”itโ€™s compulsion.โ€ โ€” Cristina Cordova

โ€œThereโ€™s a growing recognition that that sense of compulsion, it very rarely lasts for 10 years. […] Itโ€™s very rare to find that one thingโ€”that one set of problemsโ€”that can get you so excited for your entire life.โ€ โ€” Peter Walker

โ€œCuriosity is the art of asking questions where youโ€™re not married to the answer.โ€ โ€” Matt Huang

โ€œYou should probably, if youโ€™re a founder, for instance, selectively ignore at least half of what Iโ€™m saying because it doesnโ€™t apply to you. And your job as a founder, your job as an investor, your job as a thoughtful person is to figure out which half.โ€ โ€” Peter Walker

โ€œIf you torture the data long enough, it will confess to anything.โ€  โ€” Ronald Coase

โ€œYouโ€™re making decisions in an incomplete vacuum. What I think many people should do more of, in terms of those mental models, is frame it in the reverse. Which of these decisions am I going to make that is the most regret-minimizing? That I have the least likelihood of regretting later on in life, assuming that in most cases, I will be wrong.โ€ โ€” Peter Walker

โ€œThe worrisome part is that sometimes [selling founder secondaries] is at pretty early-stage companiesโ€”seed, A. Sometimes, itโ€™s for $10,000 and I donโ€™t know what happened there. Sometimes, itโ€™s for a really sizable amount of moneyโ€”seven figures. To me, that is a bubble sign. That is as close as you can get to capital is chasing consensus too much, and therefore, smart founders are just taking advantage and taking stuff off the table.โ€ โ€” Peter Walker


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
Follow Superclusters on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@super.clusters
Follow Superclusters on Instagram: https://instagram.com/super.clusters


Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

The Most Disappointing Podcast You’ll Ever Listen To (ft. Allie Garfinkle) | Superclusters | S6PSE2

allie garfinkle, david zhou, superclusters

Warning: This is a brief-ish, but hopefully entertaining intermission from the usual Superclusters programming. When we passed the 50th episode mark more than a few episodes ago, Tyler (my editor) and I thought it’d be interesting to record an episode where I change seats. Instead of me asking the questions, someone else would ask me questions. And I couldn’t imagine any better person to do so than my good friend, Allie, who in my humble opinion, is one of the best interviewers alive today.

Allie Garfinkle is a senior finance reporter for Fortune, covering venture capital and startups. She authors Fortuneโ€™s weekday dealmaking newsletter Term Sheet, hosts the Term Sheet Podcast, and co-chairs Fortune Brainstorm, a community and event series featuring an annual retreat in Deer Valley, Utah. A regular contributor to BBCโ€™s Business Matters podcast, Allie is also a frequent moderator at major conferences such as SXSW. Before joining Fortune, she covered Amazon and Meta at Yahoo Finance and helped produce Emmy-nominated PBS Frontline business documentaries, including Elon Muskโ€™s Twitter Takeover and The Power of the Fed. A graduate of The University of Chicago and New York University, Allie currently resides in Los Angeles.

You can find Allie on her socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexandra-garfinkle1/
X / Twitter: https://x.com/agarfinks

Listen to the episode onย Apple Podcastsย andย Spotify. You can alsoย watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[02:01] Art
[09:39] Competition
[17:49] Paleontology
[18:14] Allie’s Tiki mugs
[22:49] How has VC evolved?
[29:41] Evaluating risk
[43:04] Why is it important for VCs to stay in touch?
[47:10] Are there reliably good investors?
[53:09] Young GPs in market
[54:58] How useful is education that come via public talks?
[57:50] Does your niche fund size make sense for the market?
[1:01:16] Is there too much venture capital?
[01:05:24] How much of VC is art vs science?
[1:07:18] What’s going on in Allie’s world?
[1:09:45] Post-credit scene: Receipts

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

Iโ€™m intentionally keeping this section void of the things that I said since I hate the idea of quoting myself.

โ€œPart of the point of this [investing job] is that you want to be anonymously, asymmetrically correct. And you canโ€™t necessarily be that by saying or doing the same thing as everyone else. That being said, the worst nightmare for a VC is that no one wants to back a company theyโ€™ve backed.โ€ โ€” Allie Garfinkle

โ€œIf it eventually doesnโ€™t become consensus, you were wrong.โ€ โ€” Allie Garfinkle


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
Follow Superclusters on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@super.clusters
Follow Superclusters on Instagram: https://instagram.com/super.clusters


Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

Timeless VS Just-In-Time Lessons | Earnest Sweat & Alexa Binns | Superclusters | S6PSE1

earnest sweat, alexa binns

The holiday season has always been a great time to celebrate the movers and shakers in our world. This season we’re celebrating my personal favorites in the LP world. To start this mini-holiday series off, Earnest Sweat and Alexa Binns runs one of the most popular podcasts on venture capital limited partners, Swimming with Allocators. I was also fortunate enough to be on their podcast as well as a bonus crossover episode.

You can find Earnest on his socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/earnestsweat/
X / Twitter: https://x.com/EarnestSweat

You can find Alexa on her socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexabinns/
X / Twitter: https://x.com/alexabinns

Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[02:09] Alexa’s earliest relationship with money
[03:28] Earnest’s earliest relationship with money
[04:45] Earnest’s first major purchase
[06:41] Alexa’s first major purchase
[08:25] The difference between public speaking and interviewing
[12:19] Memorable guests on the SwA podcast
[14:46] To do or not to do in-person interviews
[18:05] Evolution of YouTube titles
[20:04] Why err towards evergreen content?
[22:30] Was SwA designed for LPs or GPs?
[24:12] How did Earnest and Alexa meet?
[24:56] How did Swimming with Allocators start?
[27:21] The Pandora’s Box of intros
[28:02] Alexa’s 3 buckets for LP investing
[30:12] What is ‘coming soon’ for Earnest and Alexa?
[36:58] Post-credit scene: Spider-Man & Investors as Avengers

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œHaving done my investment philosophy, Iโ€™ve got three buckets. There is the โ€˜Let it ride, you canโ€™t beat the marketโ€™ bucket. Thatโ€™s the majority of what Iโ€™m working with. Thatโ€™s 90[%] plus. There is a bucket where Iโ€™ve worked as a VC, Iโ€™ve managed a bunch of LP investments, I am better suited to vet deals than the average person. I believe in my ability to pick winners in this very thin layer of finance. Just in angel investing and GP selection where Iโ€™ve got lived experience and then my network. And then thereโ€™s a bucket for other ways capital can make your life richer.โ€ โ€” Alexa Binns


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
Follow Superclusters on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@super.clusters
Follow Superclusters on Instagram: https://instagram.com/super.clusters


Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

When Do You Know If You’ve Grown Up as a VC? | El Pack w/ Ben Choi | Superclusters

ben choi

Ben Choi from Next Legacy joins David on El Pack to answer your questions on how to build a venture capital fund. We bring on 3 GPs at VC funds to ask 3 different questions.

Gilgamesh Ventures’ Miguel Armaza, also host of the incredible Fintech Leaders podcast, asks Ben what is the timing of when a GP should consider raising a Fund III.

Similarly, but not the same, Strange Ventures’ Tara Tan asks when an LP backs a Fund I, how do they know that this Fund I GP will last till Fund III.

Arkane Capital’s Arkady Kulik asks how one should think about building an LP community, especially as he brings in new and different LP archetypes into Arkane’s ecosystem.

Ben manages over $3.5B investments with premier venture capital firms as well as directly in early stage startups. He brings to Next Legacy a distinguished track record spanning three decades in the technology ecosystem.

Benโ€™s love for technology products formed the basis for his successful venture track record, including pre-PMF investments in Marketo (acquired for $4.75B) and CourseHero (last valued at $3.6B). He previously ran product for Adobeโ€™s Creative Cloud offerings and founded CoffeeTable, where he raised venture capital financing, built a team, and ultimately sold the company.

Ben is an alum and Board Member of the Society of Kauffman Fellows (venture capital leadership) and has also served his community on the Board of Directors for the San Francisco Chinese Culture Center, Childrenโ€™s Health Council, Church of the Pioneers Foundation, and IVCF.

Ben studied Computer Science at Harvard University before Mark Zuckerberg made it cool and received his MBA from Columbia Business School. Born in Peoria, raised in San Francisco, and educated in Cambridge, Ben now lives in Los Altos with his wife, Lydia, three very active sons, and a ball python.

You can find Ben on his socials here:
X / Twitter: https://x.com/benjichoi
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/bchoi/

Listen to the episode onย Apple Podcastsย andย Spotify. You can alsoย watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[05:05] Ben’s 2025 Halloween costume
[06:44] Jensen Huang’s leather jackets
[07:24] Jensen Huang’s answer to Ben’s one question
[10:05] Enter Miguel, Gilgamesh Ventures, Fintech Leaders
[14:43] What are good signals an LP looks for before a GP raises a Fund III?
[22:35] Why does Ben say ‘established’ starts at Fund IV?
[25:08] Who’s the audience for Miguel’s podcast?
[27:52] In case you want more like this…
[28:32] Enter Tara and Strange Ventures
[32:46] How does Ben know a Fund I will become a Fund III?
[36:53] How does Ben know if a GP will want to build an enduring career?
[40:58] How does Tara share a future GP she’d like to work with to Ben?
[42:43] Marriage and divorce rates in America
[43:34] What should a Fund I do to institutionalize?
[46:28] Should you share LP updates to current or prospective LPs?
[48:57] Enter Arkady and Arkane Capital
[51:09] How does one think through LP-community fit?
[1:01:31] What’s Arkady’s favorite board game?
[1:03:08] Ben’s last piece of advice to GPs
[1:09:50] My favorite Ben moment on Superclusters

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œThe dance of fundraising is when you do have [your thesis], the LP has to figure out is this a rationalization of the past or is it actually what happened? Was this known at the time? Because if it was, we can have some confidence in the future going forward. But if it was just a rationalization of some randomness, then itโ€™s hard to know if Fund IV or V or VI will benefit from the same pattern.โ€ โ€” Ben Choi

On solo GPs bringing in future partners by Fund IIIโ€ฆ โ€œThe future unidentified partner is the largest risk that we have to decide to accept. So there actually isnโ€™t a moment where we decide this GP is going to be around for Fund III. Itโ€™s actually the dominating risk we look at and we get there, but itโ€™s a preponderance of other things that we need to build our conviction so high that weโ€™re willing to take that risk.โ€ โ€” Ben Choi

โ€œItโ€™s brutal. Itโ€™s a 30-year journey. For any GP who raises a single dollar from external LPs, itโ€™s a 30-year journey.โ€ โ€” Tara Tan

โ€œI donโ€™t think anyone goes into this business to raise capital, but your ability to raise capital is ultimately what allows you to be in this business.โ€ โ€” Ben Choi

On communityโ€ฆ โ€œYour core question is how much diversityโ€”in the technical term of diversityโ€”can you tolerate before you lose the sense of community.โ€ โ€” Ben Choi

โ€œMost letters from a parent contain a parent’s own lost dreams disguised as good advice.โ€ โ€” Kurt Vonnegut

โ€œFundraising is a journey of finding investors who want what you have to offer; itโ€™s not convincing somebody to do something.โ€ โ€” Ben Choi


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
Follow Superclusters on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@super.clusters
Follow Superclusters on Instagram: https://instagram.com/super.clusters


Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

“Venture Should Play More Like Moneyball” | Carson Monson | Superclusters | S6E9

carson monson

“The limiting downside is actually something a lot of emerging managers donโ€™t think about. If you can turn all of your portfolio companies that donโ€™t hit that exit velocity, if you can find a soft landing for those companies versus thatโ€™s a writeoff and theyโ€™re dead and done, thatโ€™s extra effort, but thatโ€™s an extra turn on your fundโ€™s performance.” โ€” Carson Monson

Carson Monson is a seasoned allocator with nearly a decade of experience backing emerging and spinout GPs across large institutions, government entities, and family offices. After stints at Greenspring, SITFO, and building a fund of funds strategy for a large European single family office, he now runs the fund of funds at CrossRange, which focuses on supporting top-tier emerging and spinout GPs.

Carson has backed everything from micro funds to high-profile managers spinning out of tier-one firms. He is deeply committed to being a thought partner and strategic resource to the GPs he supports, helping them navigate the complexities of fund building and long-term success in the VC industry.

You can find Carson on his socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/carson-k-monson/
X / Twitter: https://x.com/Monsson_

Listen to the episode onย Apple Podcastsย andย Spotify. You can alsoย watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[02:08] Wildlife and wholesome trouble
[06:03] The journey to being an LP
[10:54] How did Carson join Greenspring?
[13:55] Lessons across Greenspring
[15:46] How many deals did Greenspring do per year?
[18:46] An example of a qualitative metric worth measuring
[20:16] How many off-thesis bets is a VC allowed to make?
[21:25] When do GPs move from thematic bets to opportunistic bets?
[25:45] How much AUM should any one GP have?
[29:46] Why does Carson liked concentrated portfolios?
[30:32] The case for concentrated portfolios
[36:40] Relationships with GPs should stay at the LP partner level
[39:49] Fund strategy at Fund (n) vs Fund (n + 1)
[45:19] What the hell is ‘critical node theory?’
[49:54] Examples of great references
[52:58] The halo effect of mega funds
[58:48] How does Carson get to inbox zero
[1:02:09] Why is CrossRange different?
[1:08:17] The last time Carson had a pinch-me moment
[1:10:17] Carson’s ricotta gnocchi
[1:12:28] Post-credit scene: Ramen, gluten, Tokyo, and Tonkatsu Suzuki Pt 2

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

On if 20% of the fund is focused on opportunistic betsโ€ฆ โ€œWealthy is a nice word. I would say [20% is] egregious. […] 10%, itโ€™s not like itโ€™s the right number, but itโ€™s the number most LPs wonโ€™t contest.โ€ โ€” Carson Monson

โ€œIn the past, there have been GPs who are truly excellent at one thing or a couple of things, whether thatโ€™s a thesis, strategy, or an approach. And that approach makes a ton of sense at the fund size that theyโ€™re operating at or maybe a little bit larger. In the 20-teens especially, people were able to raise more and more, and strategy drift became a huge issue. That is something managers have to face the music on now. Itโ€™s almost like the idea of being a professional baseball player and grinding and working your way up and becoming excellent and an all-star baseball player. Then being, โ€˜Well, the motion is similar in cricket, so Iโ€™ll just go play cricket now.โ€™ Ya some of the motions are similar, but itโ€™s a fundamentally different sport. Strategy drift, fund size drift; it can be a really easy trap to fall into. The motions are similar, but you lose that competitive edge when you start to play a different sport.โ€ โ€” Carson Monson

โ€œIf youโ€™re more concentrated, there is an ability to impact outcomes more meaningfully. I like GPs that play a critical role in the ecosystem in which they operate in. If you play a critical roleโ€”whether thatโ€™s in go-to-market motions, whether thatโ€™s in commercialization, whether thatโ€™s in branding and storytellingโ€”there are so many ways you can play that role. Those types of GPs tend to have an ability to move the needle for their founders moreโ€”both on the upside and limiting the downside.โ€ โ€” Carson Monson

โ€œThe limiting downside is actually something a lot of emerging managers donโ€™t think about. If you can turn all of your portfolio companies that donโ€™t hit that exit velocity, if you can find a soft landing for those companies versus thatโ€™s a writeoff and theyโ€™re dead and done, thatโ€™s extra effort, but thatโ€™s an extra turn on your fundโ€™s performance. There is a skillset in identifying that thereโ€™s still good in a company, even if itโ€™s not going to have this massive outcome.โ€ โ€” Carson Monson

โ€œVenture should play more like Moneyball. If you can get your companies on base and limit strikeouts, that is actually so impactful at a fund level. More emerging managers should try to think like CIOs, and less like individual investors, like being a portfolio manager and managing outcomes. Obviously, venture is a game of minority positions. You do not have sole control. Playing that role for your founders, it impacts performance. It impacts reputation and, in fact, your ability to win in the future.โ€ โ€” Carson Monson

โ€œYou cannot say, โ€˜Iโ€™m going to be SV Angel today, so I can be USV tomorrow.โ€™โ€ โ€” Carson Monson

โ€œA multi-billion dollar mega fund has to have a portfolio of companies whose aggregate equity value outstrips the GDP of most small nations on this planet.โ€ โ€” Carson Monson


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
Follow Superclusters on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@super.clusters
Follow Superclusters on Instagram: https://instagram.com/super.clusters


Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

Can Your Check Size Win You Board-Level Transparency? | Apurva Mehta | Superclusters | S6E8

apurva mehta

โ€œA manager doesnโ€™t generally fit into their ultimate quartile until Year 6.โ€

Apurva Mehta is the co-founding Managing Partner of Summit Peak Investments, a fund-of-funds that boasts a portfolio of both venture fund investments and direct investments, including the likes of Affirm, Anduril, Airtable, Opendoor, and Wish, just to name a few.

Prior to starting Summit Peak in 2018 with his co-founder, Patrick O’Connor, he previously served as Vice President and Deputy Chief Investment Officer for the Children’s Hospital Endowment Portfolio in Fort Worth, Texa. From 2008 to 2011, he was the Director of Portfolio Investments at The Juilliard School in New York City. Apurva began his career in investment consulting and investment banking at Citigroup and Lehman Brothers. He was recognized for his expertise when he was named to aiCIO Magazineโ€™s Top Forty Under Forty in 2012 and 2013 and honored as a Rising Star by Institutional Investor. He holds a BBA in Finance from The George Washington University.

You can find Apurva on his socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/apurvaamehta/

Listen to the episode onย Apple Podcastsย andย Spotify. You can alsoย watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[01:40] Tennis
[02:45] Lehman Brothers’ impact on Apurva
[05:28] What AI is missing in investment management
[14:26] Underestimated qualitative metrics that impact a GP’s story
[22:10] Building Cook Children’s Hospital foundation portfolio from scratch
[30:24] Moving quickly as an LP
[31:32] What does Apurva look for in the first meeting?
[37:20] Ugly sweater Christmas parties
[39:56] Apurva’s favorite ugly sweaters over the years
[41:40] Post-credit scene: What does GFW mean?

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œA manager doesnโ€™t generally fit into their ultimate quartile until Year 6.โ€ โ€” Cambridge Associates

โ€œIf everybodyโ€™s running the other wayโ€”running from the fire, letโ€™s run into it and thereโ€™s an opportunity here.โ€ โ€” Apurva Mehta

โ€œWhen you think about the brand-name firms, they are iconic firms, iconic names. We love the fact that theyโ€™re co-invested alongside us. Even if we could build relationships with those firms, we didnโ€™t feel like weโ€™d get the transparencyโ€”maybe it was because of our check size, but maybe thatโ€™s just because of how they operateโ€”that we needed to go to an investment committee.โ€ โ€” Apurva Mehta

โ€œThe transparency at the brand-name firm level is not as high as it is with the kinds of firms we back.โ€ โ€” Apurva Mehta

โ€œBack then, everything was white space, building around network and ecosystems […] It was easier then because the landscape was less crowded. There were 150 backable or quasi-backable seed funds in 2012. 2000 to 3000 now backable and quasi-backable funds in the market. But it was easier then to figure out what we were looking for because it was just brand new.โ€ โ€” Apurva Mehta


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
Follow Superclusters on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@super.clusters
Follow Superclusters on Instagram: https://instagram.com/super.clusters


Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

120 BPM

dj, bpm, beats per minute

I was on a walk with an LP friend recently around Redwood City. And he told me a remark that another LP had about a mutual investor relations friend we had. That our IR friend started the conversation with, “What are your life goals?” And it alarmed that LP who was meeting our IR friend for the first time. To which, this LP told a few others that he was not only thrown off, but also felt offput by the interaction.

It led to a discussion between my LP friend and I where neither of us, knowing this mutual IR friend, would ever think less of our IR friend because that’s just how this person operates. But to someone who has no context of our friend, it would seem bizarre.

One of my friends who, at one point in time, was a full-time professional DJ, once told me, “The golden number is 120. 120 beats per minute. It’s the rhythm that when you strip all the noise away and you can get a heart to beat that fast, it feels like you’re in flowโ€”flow state. Pure ecstacy.

“But you can’t start the set at 120. If your mix is at that pace, and the heart isn’t, it feels discombobulating. You need to work up to it. Start the set at 70. And over the course of a one- to two-hour set, you work your way up to it. And notice the audience. The crowd must be nodding their head to your beat. And if you ever lose that bob, slow the set down again. And try to catch that heart rate again.”

To this day, probably one of the best pieces of advice on how to hold a conversation I’ve gotten to date. And it was never meant to be so.

A question I get surprisingly often is: “Why did you start the podcast?”

Among many reasons โ€” I get to ask dumb questions to smart people, refine my diligence skillset, get better at asking questions, and so on โ€” one of which was that when I only have an hour and change with someone, I’d rather not spend 10-15 minutes on small talk. How are you? How was the weekend? Which seems to be the LLM that’s coded in us on how to start a conversation and hope eventually, you can get to the meat and potatoes of the conversation. And it makes sense.

To use the DJ analogy above, most people’s resting heart rate is around 60-100. To take the middle of the road, 80. And for busy people who are constantly distracted by meetings and tasks that need their attention, a conversation with a stranger is among the lowest of their priorities. So I always believed that people would be near their resting heart rate when chatting with a nobody like myself. As such, they need icebreakers like “How are you?” to warm them up to the conversation, where their first impression of how you answer that question will indicate where the conversation might go.

On the flip side, most people haven’t been on podcasts. Much less, the guests I aim to have on. LPs. Many typically aren’t given the stage. And even if they are, it’s closed door discussions and private events. Rarely, do they get a public stage. So, the hypothesis was that on average, an LP will most likely be more nervous, excited, you name your fair share of anticipatory emotions jumping on a podcast as opposed to an offline 1:1 conversation. Six seasons in, I’d say we’re pretty close to the mark there.

As such, a faster heart rate means I am often given the privilege of starting the conversation not from “How are you?” but a question closer to 100-110 beats per minute, with hopes we can get into the questions that result in 120+ bpm sooner. And it’s almost always easier to ask a question “for the audience” than for yourself.

“Tell us about the time you proposed to your wife via a billboard. And how does that influence the way you think about pitches today?”

“Half your games on chess.com open with the Ruy Lopez. How do you think about opening gambits when you play white. And how much, if at all, does it influence the way you think about opening a conversation with a GP?”

“How does getting your first day in investment banking postponed, which was supposed to be Sept 11, 2001, influence the way you think about serendipity?”

All questions that I would hesitate to say, would be easy opening gambits in a 1:1 coffee chat. But your mileage may vary.

Photo by Tobias Rademacher on Unsplash


Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

What does GP-Friendly ACTUALLY Mean? | Caroline Toch Docal | Superclusters | S6E7

caroline toch docal

โ€œItโ€™s a mathematical reality that the highest performing GPs in this part of the market often also have the highest kill rates, which means some things are incredible and other things are super wonky and you have to be cool with that. You canโ€™t be doing a six across the board.โ€ โ€” Caroline Toch Docal

Caroline Toch Docal backs early stage fund managers as the lead of BCVโ€™s Emerging Manager Program. She believes in investing in funds as early as the first close, which is a rare focus in the LP landscape. Sheโ€™s a lifelong early stage enthusiast from her time at Venture for America to Techstars to Chief to Dorm Room Fund to now Bain Capital Ventures, where she runs the emerging manager program there which has seen quite the evolution since 2017.

You can find Caroline on her socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/carolinetoch/
X / Twitter: https://x.com/carolinetoch

Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[01:33] BCV Emerge
[02:30] The 13-year summer camp experience
[07:46] From VC to LP
[09:50] Compare/contrast early stage investing to emerging GP investing
[12:51] Behind the scenes of Caroline chose to become an LP
[14:36] Caroline’s first investment
[16:24] What is a GP-friendly diligence process?
[21:27] How Caroline pre-qualifies an investment?
[24:50] Understanding if a GP REALLY believes VC is their life’s work
[26:25] Examples of long-term language
[31:05] The 3 Acts of BCV’s Emerging Manager program
[36:44] What the hell is BGH?
[38:03] Stand up comedy
[39:20] Dogs vs cats

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œOne of the things thatโ€™s not really talked about in this part of the asset class is everything looks pretty good until you see a lot of stuff.โ€ โ€” Caroline Toch Docal

โ€œSometimes people use the referencing phase to get to know people theyโ€™d want to meet. I donโ€™t believe that is necessarily the most GP-friendly thing to do.โ€ โ€” Caroline Toch Docal

โ€œItโ€™s a mathematical reality that the highest performing GPs in this part of the market often also have the highest kill rates, which means some things are incredible and other things are super wonky and you have to be cool with that. You canโ€™t be doing a six across the board.โ€ โ€” Caroline Toch Docal

An example โ€˜long-term languageโ€™: โ€œThey donโ€™t celebrate fundraising; they celebrate outcomes.โ€ โ€” Caroline Toch Docal

โ€œThe average anchor check for a $10-25M fund today is $4.2M. In 2017 when we started, it was less than $3M. So thatโ€™s a huge change. Related, the LP base is just concentrating. Using that same size as a benchmark, they have 25% fewer LPs than in 2020.โ€ โ€” Caroline Toch Docal


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
Follow Superclusters on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@super.clusters
Follow Superclusters on Instagram: https://instagram.com/super.clusters


Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

Where Does Intuition Come From? | Yiwen Li | Superclusters | S6E6

yiwen li

โ€œThe intuition part comes from activities of creativity that change your perspective.โ€ โ€” Yiwen Li

Yiwen Li is a seasoned investor with a successful track record of investing in AI, blockchain, and healthcare tech while developing global business partnerships to fast-scale the business.

Yiwen is currently Head of Venture Investments at Bayview Development Group, a global family office with diverse exposure public market, private equity, venture, and real estate. Prior, she was a Principal at Alumni Ventures, responsible for end-to-end multi-stage investments focused on blockchain and fintech. She was Director for Corporate Strategy at Masimo (Nasdaq: MASI). She built an innovation pipeline in healthcare connectivity and data analytics. She was Director for Corporate Development at NantHealth (Nasdaq: NH), where she established the international business division. Yiwen started her career at Capital Group in equity research.

Yiwen is an Advisory Board member of C-Sweet. She served on the board of Give2Asia as the chairman of the finance committee and a member of the investment committee. She was an advisory board member for the Asia Society where she co-founded the โ€œAsian Women Empoweredโ€ initiative. She was recognized as theโ€ Top 50 Women Leaders in San Jose 2024 and 2025โ€, โ€œTop 50 Women in 2019โ€ and the โ€œMost Inspirational Women in Web 3โ€. Yiwen is also the author of one of the best sellers โ€œMake the World Your Playgroundโ€, inspiring women to find their unique path. She is a frequent speaker on innovation and emerging technology trends.

Yiwen holds a Master from the London School of Economics and a Master from the University of Vienna. She also graduated from the Venture Capital program at UC Berkeley and the Private Equity Program at Wharton. She was selected to be one of the ” Young American Leaders” at Harvard Business School. Yiwen is a recipient of the European Unionโ€™s Erasmus Mundus scholarship. She is fluent in Mandarin and German, worked and lived in Europe, Asia, and US.

You can find Yiwen on her socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/yiwenli999/

Listen to the episode onย Apple Podcastsย andย Spotify. You can alsoย watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[02:07] Yiwen’s childhood
[05:00] Jazz singing
[06:14] The value of learning languages
[09:01] How to build intuition around emerging managers
[14:51] Getting to the bottom of a GP’s motivation
[16:33] What percent of GPs are not in VC for the right reasons?
[19:47] Does success fuel or inhibit ambition?
[24:17] The cost of knowledge is cheaper
[24:56] Competitive edges in the current world
[27:06] Why creative activities matter
[31:21] Advice to emerging LPs
[32:42] Post-credit scene

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œThe entrepreneurโ€™s [life] is a life where youโ€™re eating glass every day.โ€ โ€” Yiwen Li

โ€œFor the first time, the cost of knowledge is becoming cheaper.โ€ โ€” Yiwen Li

โ€œItโ€™s the easiest time to create a company. Itโ€™s also the most difficult time to maintain the competitive edge of that company.โ€ โ€” Yiwen Li

โ€œThe intuition part comes from activities of creativity that change your perspective.โ€ โ€” Yiwen Li


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
Follow Superclusters on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@super.clusters
Follow Superclusters on Instagram: https://instagram.com/super.clusters


Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

$80M vs $800M vs $8B Endowment | Trish Spurlin | Superclusters | S6E5

trish spurlin

โ€œOnce you hit a billion dollars, you should probably consider some sort of internal team. Just to mitigate risk. Thereโ€™s audit risk involved when you have such a small number of people managing a huge pool of capital. Itโ€™s going to differ for everyone. Thatโ€™s probably a good benchmark.โ€ โ€” Trish Spurlin

Trish Spurlin is the Investment Director at Babsonโ€™s $800M endowment, covering private markets investing with a large focus on venture. In fact 70% of their private equity portfolio is venture capital. Quite a unique strategy for an endowment to take. Why? An endowment is required to provide, in this case, the university money every single year, anywhere from 5% to 60% of a universityโ€™s annual budget. And to invest in an illiquid asset class aka venture capital that doesnโ€™t return capital till a decade later, if not longer, takes courage.

You can find Trish on her socials here:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/trishspurlin/
X / Twitter: https://x.com/trishdigi

Listen to the episode onย Apple Podcastsย andย Spotify. You can alsoย watch the episode on YouTube here.

OUTLINE:

[00:00] Intro
[01:45] Sports in Trish’s life
[05:10] How does success fuel inhibit ambition? How does it inhibit ambition?
[07:35] How do you underwrite long term motivation?
[13:21] How fast you order something might matter
[16:04] Can Trish angel invest outside of Babson?
[17:08] Endowment with a $80M budget
[19:54] Should you hire an outsourced CIO?
[24:18] Endowment with a $8B budget
[27:47] Babson’s liquidity requirements
[30:33] How to ask about a senior partner leaving
[34:05] How does Trish build trust with her GPs?
[37:48] Trish’s interests vs Babson’s interests
[45:24] Hank Sauce
[47:26] Why is Ocean City Boardwalk special?
[48:51] What serves as a reminder to Trish we’re still in the good ol’ days?

SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

โ€œWhat have [ambitious peopleโ€™s] transition periods looked like? A lot of times when people do really cool things, there are 2-3 years after where they just donโ€™t know what to do with themselves. Thatโ€™s very normal. You see that with Olympians. You see that with astronauts.โ€ โ€” Trish Spurlin

โ€œOnce you hit a billion dollars, you should probably consider some sort of internal team. Just to mitigate risk. Thereโ€™s audit risk involved when you have such a small number of people managing a huge pool of capital. Itโ€™s going to differ for everyone. Thatโ€™s probably a good benchmark.โ€ โ€” Trish Spurlin

โ€œIf you want to be told things when they arenโ€™t going well, you canโ€™t freak out when somebody tells you something thatโ€™s not going well. No emails in caps. No yelling. Take a moment to digest what youโ€™re being told. Youโ€™re collecting information. You can discuss that information when the time is appropriate.โ€ โ€” Trish Spurlin


Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
Follow Superclusters on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@super.clusters
Follow Superclusters on Instagram: https://instagram.com/super.clusters


Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.