Shoe Shopping

shoe

I went shoe shopping with my partner the past two weekends, and I’ll be the first to plead ignorance to the difference between the B and D suffix for shoe sizes. And even after two weekends, I’m still learning.

I’ve never looked much into shoes. Having spent much of my early life bathed in chlorine (so much that at one point, my hair was brown with blond tips. FYI, for those I’ve never met in person before, I sport naturally black hair.), I’ve spent more time choosing the right $300-400 swimsuit than what I’d wear on my two lower appendages the other eight hours of the day. All that to say, I’m ill-equipped to speak the language of sneakerheads and running shoe geeks.

But just as I’m still learning how shoe geeks around the world understand the finer nuances of heel to toe drop impacting ankle versus knee strain, most founders who haven’t spent the time understanding the nuances of VCs think all money is green. In fact, just last month, I spoke with a founder I randomly met at an event who said, “Money is money.”

And he’s not completely wrong. There is some truth to it. At the end of the day, as investors, we sell money. Moreover, most investors who promise to be helpful are not. As well-intentioned as they are at the time of investment, most fall short of being truly helpful. There are multiple studies that show that founders believe a huge majority of their investors are not helpful.

That said, one of my investor buddies said something quite interesting to me earlier this week. Many founders see investors as saviors not partners. A source of capital to save them when they’re near the gates of hell, but not while they’re building their stairway to heaven. All that to say, as someone who’s been an operator, now a “VC”, but also someone who invests in other VCs, here are some of the nuances I’ve really come to appreciate over the years that I overlooked when I first stepped into the world of entrepreneurship.

Some firms are consensus-driven. Others are conviction-driven. The former requires majority or unanimous buy-in. The latter doesn’t. Neither is universally better than the other, but knowing how decisions are made is extremely helpful. Not only to know who else you need to convince on the team, but also to know how the firm will help you post-investment.

The former is usually a firm where carry is split equally among all partners, so all partners are theoretically incented to see every portfolio company succeed. So as a founder, if you want to rely on the expertise and network of the collective partnership, these are the firms you should pursue. The latter, the conviction-driven ones, are most helpful if you really want one specific partner’s experience. They’ll be the person who takes the board seat. Opportunistically, they may ask for 1-2 junior team members to also have board observer seats. The downside is when and if this partner leaves the firm, there may be a gaping hole in governance as well as interest in the continued success of your company. But otherwise, this will be the partner you will have on speed dial.

I shared a presentation I made recently on LinkedIn. Of which, I share that three kinds of friends in the world. When shit hits the fan at 3AM in the morning…

  1. There’s the friend you call. They see the call. And they go back to sleep.
  2. There’s the friend you call. They see the call. And begrudgingly pick up.
  3. And there’s the friend you call. And as they’re picking up the phone, they’ve got their pants on already and are running out the door with their keys.

Conviction-driven firms, where the partner that pounds the table for you will likely be on you board, or even if not, they’re going to be the third friend. At consensus-driven firms, and I’m clearly being reductive here, you’re more likely — not always — to have the reluctant one or sleepers.

Then it comes down to how the team is compensated. Not something most founders can find out or ask out, but how carry is distributed for each fund matters.

I’ve realized a lot of the best investors are quite disagreeable. They have their opinions and are quite vocal about them.

A lot of them quite often score incredibly low on investor review sites. Of course, some just score low on NPS purely because their assholes. But I want to caveat. Assholes are often disagreeable, but not all disagreeable people are assholes.

But it takes a lot of courage to have a contrarian viewpoint that one can back up. You don’t have to agree with it. But it matters. More often than not, these folks will also have negative references. For an LP evaluating VCs, that’s ok. Negative is always better than neutral references. The latter means you’re easily forgettable.

Regardless of whether you agree with these investors or not (equally, if not more true, in great founders), they make you stop and think. And that pause to think makes you a more well-rounded professional, and makes your own opinions more robust when you choose to adopt or not adopt said piece of advice.

There’s a great Steve Jobs line, which I think is quite applicable here. “Here’s to the crazy ones. The misfits. The rebels. The troublemakers. The round pegs in the square holes. The ones who see things differently. They’re not fond of rules. And they have no respect for the status quo. You can quote them, disagree with them, glorify or vilify them. About the only thing you can’t do is ignore them. Because they change things. They push the human race forward. And while some may see them as the crazy ones, we see genius. Because the people who are crazy enough to think they can change the world, are the ones who do.”

Great investors are troublemakers. In a good way.

P.S. To the three verified troublemakers I know who are reading this blogpost, can’t wait for your debut.

Small talk was definitely one of those things I was rather dismissive of earlier in my career. Who da hell cares about the weather? Or what you did over the weekend?

But over the years, I realize some of the best investors are remarkably good at this. Not in the sense that they know how to ask great weather questions, but they learn how to build rapport early and quickly. And even better, they get a founder comfortable, honest, and candid about where they are at.

No one’s perfect. Every investor gets that. Most founders often pretend that they are. But a great investor is great at helping a founder realize they don’t have to be, and also get to understand a founder from a personal level. Not jumping straight into the pitch. Or give me your metrics. Or how much are you raising at how high of a valuation?

Borrowing this phrase from the amazing Kim Scott, the best investors are upfront with expectations. They don’t waste your time. Some even go as far as to share what their incentives are. And the harsh reality that they may be wrong many times before they’re right. They don’t beat around the bush. They don’t delay the inevitable. They’re great at ripping bandages off quickly, so they can prioritize their focus on other matters that require more attention. They have tough conversations early and synchronously. The last thing one can ever say about them is that they aren’t thoughtful. It seems remarkably simple, but most cannot do just that.

To be fair, it’s sometimes easier said than done. Even for myself, and I would not even dare to put myself in the category of great, I’ve been berated, gaslit, and shamed (haha!) for giving and attempting to give honest feedback to founders and investors. In fact, I was introed to a fund manager recently for the purpose of giving feedback. When I realized a couple red flags about her fund (namely her raising a $100M fund with no track record), I asked if she wanted feedback. To which, she replied with something to the effect that she only takes feedback from people who invest and that I didn’t deserve to give her feedback.

So I can see why some managers are averse to giving any.

I was reminded of this in my recent episode with Rick Zullo. And I noticed Rick is really good at giving credit and lifting up his team. In a soon-to-be-released episode, Eric Bahn from Hustle Fund does the same. I’ve asked him to speak at events before and he’s often referred one of his junior team members to the event. Not as a “I don’t want to do this, so someone else should”, but as a “I believe XX person will be a great future leader of this firm, and I believe others need to hear her insights.” And he’s been right every time.

Building an institutional firm takes more than one person. It takes a village. To build a legacy also requires more than one generation. I often see great investors taking less credit and giving a lot more to their team. Those often hidden from the limelight.

Every great investor I know does something consistently every day. They set ground rules and while it’s less so for others, they hold themselves accountable to do so. Whether it’s a cup of coffee brewed from home every morning, or going to the gym on a daily basis or quality time with family or calling their significant other at a set time every day, I have yet to meet an investor who can’t keep to a promise they made to themselves consistently.

Venture capital is a long game, and it’s very possible for these multi-decade games, to be lucky at least once. Good investors, at some point, hit a unicorn. Great investors can discover many before others do. But any more than twice requires extreme discipline and the ability to say no to things that are good to make room for the great. And it’s so much harder than one might think.

And the simplest proxy to an investor’s ability to do so is their ability to fulfill promises to themselves when no one else is looking.

    At the end of the day, not all shoes are the same. Just like not all VCs are. But if all you need is to get from Point A to Point B, and you don’t care for what kind of support you get along the way, VCs, like shoes, may all be the same.

    Photo by Hunter Johnson on Unsplash


    Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


    The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

    How to Build an Emerging Manager Community | Rick Zullo | Superclusters | S3PSE1

    rick zullo

    Rick Zullo is the Co-Founder and Managing Partner at Equal Ventures. which invests into the future of four verticals: climate, insurance, retail, and supply chain, and boasts a portfolio including the likes of Threeflow, Leap, Smarthop, Ghost, Starday, David Energy, Leap, Odyssey, Vquip or Texture, just to name a few — many of which Rick serves on the board of.

    Prior to co-founding Equal Ventures, Rick was an investor at Lightbank, an early-stage venture fund based in Chicago, where he led investments in companies like Riskmatch (acquired by Vertafore), Vettery (acquired by Adecco), Neumob (acquired by CloudFlare), Expel and Catalytic amongst others. Prior to Lightbank, Rick worked with investment firms Foundation Capital, Bowery Capital, and Lightview Capital, investing in technology companies across the capital spectrum from seed-stage to buy-out and began his career as a strategy consultant at Deloitte Consulting.

    Rick received an MBA with Honors from Columbia Business School and graduated from the University of Richmond where he studied Economics and Leadership Studies.

    You can find Rick on his socials here:
    X/Twitter: https://x.com/Rick_Zullo
    LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/rickzullo/

    And huge thanks to this episode’s sponsor, Alchemist Accelerator: https://alchemistaccelerator.com/superclusters

    Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also watch the episode on YouTube here.

    Brought to you by Alchemist Accelerator.

    OUTLINE:

    [00:00] Intro
    [00:42] Rick’s book and how Rick thinks about his habit of writing
    [05:45] How Rick became a VC
    [11:36] The speed Rick listens to audiobooks
    [12:38] How Sendbird closed their first customer
    [14:20] Is networking a feature or a bug in VC?
    [17:59] Rick’s three hat framework
    [26:07] Growing up with a stutter and weak knees
    [35:58] Going from getting a job in VC to starting a firm
    [46:42] What motivated Rick despite how hard it was to raise Fund I
    [57:16] What makes EMC different from other emerging manager communities?
    [1:04:03] How does Rick help people become vulnerable at EMC?
    [1:15:25] What’s broken with venture
    [1:18:50] Rick’s hot take on funds of funds
    [1:22:04] “Seed stage is the worst stage to be investing into”
    [1:27:54] Asymmetric insight and asymmetric value add
    [1:33:00] How to pick board members as a founder when VC currently has high turnover
    [1:39:54] What should people know about Rick that he isn’t already known for?
    [1:42:55] Thank you to Alchemist Accelerator for sponsoring!
    [1:43:55] If you enjoyed this GP episode, do let me know in the comments or in DMs!

    SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

    SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

    “Everyone in venture is networking and not working.” – Rick Zullo

    “When I played football once upon a time, our coach [was] screaming at us, ‘Three hats on the ball! Three hats on the ball!’ The runner wasn’t down until we had three helmets tackling them.” – Rick Zullo, on staffing at a VC firm

    “Historically, if you look at the last 10 years of data, it would suggest that multiple [of the premium of a late stage valuation to seed stage valuation] should cover around 20-25 times. […] In 2021, that number hit 42 times. […] Last year, that number was around eight.” – Rick Zullo (circa 2024)


    Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
    For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
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    Timeless Content for the Weary Investor

    city, ads, information

    “If you don’t read the newspaper, you’re uninformed. If you do read it, you’re misinformed. […] What is the long term effect of too much information? One of the effects is the need to be first, not even to be true anymore. So whatever responsibility you all have… to tell the truth, not just to be first.” — Denzel Washington

    Since I’ve first started this blog, I’ve always had a bias towards sharing evergreen content. Lessons that can be applied to any era. Of course, not all my thoughts withstood, nor will withstand the test of time, but the goal was to be intentional with what I was putting out there. The bias was also due to the fact that I didn’t think I was best in class in being first to news updates (although opportunistically I could be).

    And while not SEO-optimized, I find peace in delivering content that is hopefully as useful today as it will be tomorrow. In that regard, this blog will forever stay a blog, as opposed to any semblance of the traditional definition of media, which at the end of the day is the acquisition and monetization of attention. The latter of which I don’t plan to do for this blog, ever.

    That said, the consumption of information is often just as if not more important than the production of information. In the words of my friend, one’s information diet. And if you’ve been around this blog long enough, you’ll be no stranger to that term. Of which about 50% of my information intake is ephemeral and 50% evergreen. But for the purpose of this blogpost, this one is less about me, but about the information diet of friends and colleagues. Where do many of the VCs and LPs I respect consume their evergreen content?

    So I went around and asked the simple question:

    Do you have 1-2 examples of evergreen content you love revisiting or stays in your mind rent-free?

    In other words, what do you read when you need to get to the bottom of things, not just to stay on top of things?

    By nature of being friends with everyone I asked, and to reduce the noise in the below list, I’ve excluded every mention of a specific blog whose first word is a synonym to ‘mug’ and a specific podcast whose name is inspired by astrophysical concepts. I asked about 20 VCs and LPs each. Whose fund sizes ranged from 7-figures to 10-figures. Whose tenures in investing ranged from five years to thirty years. Geographically, all except two I asked reside in North America, but many also invest into geographies external to the star-spangled banner and the home of the maple leaf.

    There was no particular reason as to why I sampled as such, other than an availability bias. All of whom I could text or ping pretty quickly and get a response. After all, I incubated the idea for this post earlier this week. Also, by default, all recommendations were kept anonymous.

    But without further ado, I’ve compartmentalized the below content into:

    1. What VCs consume
    2. And, what LPs consume

    You’ll notice some do overlap, which goes to show how timeless some things are.

    Blogs:

    Books:

    Papers:

    Podcasts:

    People to follow:

    Manifestos:

    Source: Holstee Manifesto

    Blogs:

    Books:

    • The Psychology of Money: Timeless Lessons on Wealth, Greed, and Happiness by Morgan Housel
    • The Power Law: Venture Capital and the Making of the New Future by Sebastian Mallaby
    • The Big Picture: On the Origins of Life, Meaning, and the Universe Itself by Sean Carroll
    • Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All the Facts by Annie Duke
      • The amazing Jamie shared the below bullets as to why Annie Duke’s book is just that good, and Jamie’s words were too good not to include:
        • Embrace Uncertainty: I can make more rational and less emotionally driven decisions
        • Resulting: People judge the quality of a decision based on its outcome rather than on the decision-making process. THIS HAPPENS ALL THE TIME IN VC!!!! Annie argues that a good decision can lead to a bad outcome and vice versa, so it’s crucial to focus on the process rather than just the results.
        • Probabilistic Thinking: Think in probabilities rather than absolutes. By estimating the likelihood of different outcomes, individuals can make more informed decisions. This approach helps in managing risks and setting realistic expectations.
        • Learning from Feedback: Learning from both wins and losses is crucial, instead of attributing success solely to skill or failure to bad luck, understand what contributed to the outcome
        • Decision Groups: Forming decision groups where members can share insights and challenge each other’s thinking- this can help identify biases and improve the quality of decisions, I would say a key part of what happens at Screendoor 
        • Importance of process: Developing and following a structured approach, individuals can make better decisions even in the face of uncertainty.

    Lectures:

    Podcasts:

    People to follow:

    Additionally, one LP shared their more comprehensive list of content they revisit often. One that’s well-worth bookmarking.

    I don’t know about you, but I know what I’m doing this weekend.

    Big thanks to all the LPs and VCs I reached out to for recommendations, including Jamie Rhode, Eric Bahn, John Rikhtegar, and everyone else who shared their thoughts on short notice before we had a chance to get the compliance’s blessing.

    P.S. John had probably the most unique pieces of evergreen content he regularly revisited. While I won’t spoil which, you can probably guess based on which of the above seem like recommendations off the beaten path.

    Photo by Anthony Rosset on Unsplash


    Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


    The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

    How to Get Access into Top Tier Funds | Felipe Valencia | Superclusters | S3E9

    felipe valencia

    Felipe Valencia is one of the co-founders of Veronorte, a venture capital investment firm based out of Colombia. In the first decade, Veronorte focused on managing Corporate Venture Programs for some of the largest Corporations in Latam.

    These days, they’re diving into a Fund of Funds investment strategy in the Venture Capital space. For the last 12 years, Veronorte has invested in over 25 startups across the U.S., India, Europe, Mexico, and Colombia, and in more than 12 Venture Capital funds, primarily in the U.S.

    With over 20 years of experience under his belt, Felipe has dabbled in various fields like robotics, the internet, international trade, and infrastructure project management.

    Felipe graduated summa cum laude with a Mechanical Engineering degree from EAFIT University. He also holds a Master’s in Web Communication from the European Institute of Design in Rome and an MBA from the University of Chicago, where he focused on entrepreneurship and finance.

    Felipe’s journey has taken him all over the world: He worked for AVG – Robotics in Los Angeles, did research and development in Mechatronics at Siemens in Germany, and was the Commercial and Strategic Director of Indexcol in Colombia. He also served as the Commercial Attaché at the Colombian Embassy in China and led the Proexport office there. Most recently, he was involved in business development at Pierson Capital in Beijing and managed infrastructure projects in Mexico.

    You can find Felipe on his socials here:
    LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/felipevalencia/
    Veronorte: https://veronorte.com/

    And huge thanks to this episode’s sponsor, Alchemist Accelerator: https://alchemistaccelerator.com/superclusters

    Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also watch the episode on YouTube here.

    Brought to you by Alchemist Accelerator.

    OUTLINE:

    [00:00] Intro
    [02:54] Felipe’s teenage years under a life of terror
    [10:01] How Medellin has changed over the years
    [13:12] Tales from Felipe’s travels across 10 cities in 4 continents
    [17:53] How did Felipe made his foray into VC?
    [22:46] How did Felipe meet his co-founding partner Camilo?
    [26:31] How Felipe pitched a VC fund without a track record
    [39:16] How did Felipe and Camilo think about compensation in Fund I?
    [47:40] How did Veronorte transition from a VC fund to a fund of funds?
    [55:14] The Monte Carlo simulation of fund of funds strategies
    [1:03:04] How much better does a venture fund need to do than public markets?
    [1:05:46] How did Veronorte get into top tier established funds?
    [1:12:00] What coffee brand did Felipe bring on his visits to the US?
    [1:13:38] How did Veronorte close Latam family offices in their fund of funds?
    [1:17:04] How does Veronorte communicate with their LPs?
    [1:23:58] The difference between an emerging firm and a frontier firm
    [1:28:55] Portfolio construction at Veronorte
    [1:34:50] What podcasts does Felipe listen to?
    [1:38:19] Felipe’s advice for the wanderlust
    [1:43:39] Thank you to Alchemist Accelerator for sponsoring!
    [1:44:39] If you enjoyed this episode, albeit longer, please do leave a like and share it with one friend who’d enjoy this episode!

    SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

    SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

    “Diversification is a good way to control dispersion of returns.” – Felipe Valencia

    “Every time they go to a meeting, they go with a present.” – Felipe Valencia, on building relationships

    “This is an access class, not an asset class. And to show access, you need to bring these established firms. It’s not that we will invest in any shiny name, and we have passed on amazing firms that have an amazing brand because they don’t fit in our strategy.” – Felipe Valencia


    Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
    For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
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    The Value of Being an Outsider

    fence, inside, outside

    In 1968, NASA tasked the late George Land to create a test that would help NASA hire more creative geniuses. Does genius and creativity come from nature or nurture? As such his job was to create a test so simple that even children could take it. And he found that for children ages 4-5, out of 1,600 children, 98% of them qualified to be a genius. Divergent thinkers. Then, he waited five years to assess these same children. To which he found, only 30% qualified. Then another five years later, only 12% of the same children were what he counted to be geniuses.

    It begged the question: What percent of adults are geniuses?

    The answer, 2%.

    For those curious, I’d highly recommend George’s 2011 TEDx talk about the topic.

    Of course, the lesson from all of this is the fallacy of modern-day education. And the same is true for the adult world between convergent thinkers and divergent thinkers. I believe in the world of venture at least, we have terminology that’s little less palatable (at least for me, although on occasion I’m guilty of using them myself): insiders and outsiders.

    My friend Anne sent me this piece by Auren Hoffman recently on insiders and outsiders. An incredibly well-written piece, and quite thought-provoking. I’ve largely thought about how outsiders can become insiders, but silly me, less about the value of staying an outsider or an insider aiming to become an outsider. Moreover, that to be successful as an insider, there’s actually a rather predictable path to become one. Or at least to help your children become one. Go to Harvard. Play insider sports, like gold, or horse-riding, or sailing. And son. But in Auren’s words, to be successful as an outsider, well, “being [an outsider] is MUCH higher beta. They could end up changing the world for the better. They also could blow it up. Or just never be accepted and live less happy.”

    And while I may not agree with everything that Auren proposes, a lot of it makes sense. In fact, 11 words definitely caught my eye. “Outsiders take things from insiders.  Insiders inherit things from other insiders.” And as such, insiders play the status quo; outsiders change the status quo.

    It’s interesting. Every generation of VC, there’s a changing of the guard. Many of the new regime are outsiders. People who think different. People who exhibit a level of creativity that is uncommon in VCs. Either in the form of business models or how they provide value. How they build brand. Or simply how their brain works. People that in bringing a fresh perspective were able to find the next great companies unlike any other.

    Interestingly enough, in my buddy and Superclusters guest Jaap’s recent study of 2,092 North American and European VC funds, he found that these are the folks who are more likely to hit fundraise targets than any other GP persona. Aka 45% success rate. And perform highest at 2.4X net TVPI, but only average on DPI and IRR.

    Source: Jaap Vriesendorp’s cluster model on 2,092 VC funds. Find a more interactive one here.

    My guess here is that these outsiders, in being artisanal about their craft and — well, at least with respect to the VC industry at large, divergent thinkers — find their tribe rather quickly because LPs quick self-select themselves in or out of a relationship with them. They’re the round pegs in the square holes, to borrow a Steve Jobs moniker. So when most others look square, the few round holes instantly identify with these round pegs. And more often than not, they’re new to the asset management game, so have lower fund targets and a more precise strategy. Downside to that is they’re still learning the ropes of exit strategies and fund management. Which also explains the high volatility in returns.

    And while there’s much higher beta in being an outsider, there’s plenty of research to suggest that there is also greater alpha. But it’s going to be unfair. The deck is rigged against you. There’s a great Marcus Aurelius line. “Mental toughness is knowing life isn’t fair and still playing to win.”

    The outsiders who win exhibit exactly that mental fortitude against stacked odds. Besides, there’s joy in doing things differently.

    Photo by Randy Fath on Unsplash


    Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


    The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

    Why Trust is Built from the Small Things | Ben Ehrlich | Superclusters | S3E8

    Ben Ehrlich is the founder and General Partner of First Momentum Capital, where he helps seed a new generation of venture capital firms. He is also the Director of Strategy at the Long Term Stock Exhange. Previously Ben worked across the venture ecosystem supporting companies in the Canadian Technology Accelerator, OutCast Communications and Cribspot (YC 15). In his free time Ben takes his Irish setter doodle hiking and enjoys watching the University of Michigan football team (mostly) win.

    You can find Ben on his socials here:
    Twitter: https://x.com/benjaminehrlich
    LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjamin-ehrlich-43b75498/

    And huge thanks to this episode’s sponsor, Alchemist Accelerator: https://alchemistaccelerator.com/superclusters

    Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also watch the episode on YouTube here.

    Brought to you by Alchemist Accelerator.

    OUTLINE:

    [00:00] Intro
    [03:43] The origins of the Out of the Crisis podcast
    [06:54] Ben’s advice for rookie podcasters
    [08:35] How did Ben first meet Eric Ries?
    [11:46] The play-by-play for Ben’s interview with LTSE
    [13:36] What do decisions and conversations look like at LTSE?
    [16:23] Building trust among team members
    [18:29] How does Ben build trust with GPs?
    [25:14] How did First Momentum Capital start?
    [30:42] What was the pitch to close First Momentum’s first fund?
    [33:54] How does Ben underwrite Fund I managers?
    [36:42] How does Ben measure a GP’s future deal flow (as opposed to today’s)?
    [45:40] What does a “No” from Ben look like?
    [57:50] Thoughts on fund governance
    [1:05:57] What is the role of serendipity in Ben’s life?
    [1:08:17] Commisso Bakery in Toronto
    [1:10:35] Thank you to Alchemist Accelerator for sponsoring!
    [1:11:35] If you enjoyed the episode, I’d appreciate it if you could share it with one friend!

    SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

    SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

    “Make sure to pay the government, doctors, and podcast producers on time.” – Ben Ehrlich

    “If you want to build trust with someone [on your team], if they screw up, you have to be okay with them screwing up because you put them in the situation.” – Ben Ehrlich

    “We’re looking for concentrated, non-correlated bets.” – Ben Ehrlich


    Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
    For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
    Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
    Follow Superclusters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SuperclustersLP
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    What Limited Capital Does to Founders and Investors

    pitch, presentation

    My friend invited me to a demo day earlier this week. Albeit, it was a bunch of summer interns presenting their project they’d been working on for the last two months. The few investors and I who sat on the judging panel were all admittedly quite surprised by the quality of pitches and products from students and hell, even within two months. In fact, these 10-11 interns have gotten much further in product development and customer discovery than most founders I’ve seen across the span of a year. Whether sampling bias or not, the latter is probably about 50%+ of what I see these days. And you’d think that AI would have sped up the product development cycle.

    But I digress.

    Simply put, I was impressed. So, in efforts to simulate actual pitches at demo days, I asked a team who had presented five features they’d been working on and gotten each to a working prototype. “If you had to kill three of the five features, which three would you kill?”

    To which, the “CEO” replied: “To be honest, all five are quite important. But if we had to kill a feature, it’d be the AI chatbot, but the rest of the four go hand-in-hand.”

    I pushed for a more discerning answer, but was met with a paraphrased version of the last answer. And of course, it left a little more to be desired. What I was looking for was something of more prescriptive specificity. For instance, “we’d focus on usage metrics, particularly with respect to retention cohorts and actions per session across all the features. And depending on what features seem to perform better than others, our plan is to focus 70% of engineering resources on the top feature, 20% on the second most popular feature, and 10% focused on either a permutation of the other three or spending time with our customers to see where they’re the most frustrated.” It may not need to be the “right” answer, but having a thought-out answer is helpful.

    After all, the original question boils down to the fact that most founders fail from indigestion not from starvation. Charles Hudson wrote this great piece last month, aptly named “The Last $250K.” In short, one of the most common behavioral changes he’s observed is when founders are down to their last $250K. And, three things stand out in particular:

    1. “The most important things to work on become incredibly clear.”
    2. “The data needed to validate the company’s hypothesis becomes much clearer.”
    3. “There are things that the company was doing that they stop doing because those things don’t really matter given the gravity of the situation.”

    It’s a quick read. And I highly recommend it. Much of which I personally agree with. Not sure if that’s usually the $250K mark, but my personal sample size is far smaller than Charles’. Constraints are the breeding grounds of creativity.

    What’s really interesting is that my first reaction to that blogpost was just like how the last 4-6 months of runway leads to deep focus, how do the last 4-6 months affect fund managers? And it’s not too far off.

    • Deployment speed slows. The simple reason is that they no longer feel the fire under their belly to deploy. Either because they’re close to their target portfolio size or they need to elongate the time horizon while they’re actively raising their next fund.
    • The quality bar for what gets funded goes up. Since your deal flow pipeline is likely not contracting, there’s a flight to quality. And quality more often than not, translates to traction, logos/brands, and founder’s prior experiences. While there are always outliers, I see many GPs take less risky bets that they would’ve otherwise.
    • GPs are actively planning for the next fund’s strategy. And actively synthesizing lessons learned. Or at least, with respect with how they pitch LPs. And if they’re an emerging manager, or a fund without clear wins in their last fund, the most important things also become painfully clear. They often focus on the 20% that drove 80% of fund returns.
    • GPs are spending a lot more time on portfolio support. Not only because graduation rates become a lot more important (for fund returns and narratives for prospective LPs), but also because references matter in diligence. And well, if you’re fundraising for your next fund, you can be damn well sure that a sophisticated LP is going to do anywhere between 10-50 reference checks. On-list and off-list. 20-30% of which with your portfolio companies.

    Thematically, focus. While there are other constraints that help improve a founder or a fund manager’s level of focus, limited runway (or capital to deploy) is a natural forcing function. The best ones I’ve seen often impose artificial constraints early on, before things get rough. Rules and codes of conduct. Things they promise themselves and the team never do. Aligning compensation behind performance. In other words, operational discipline.

    Naturally, it should be to no surprise that investors of any kind spend a lot of time on organizational discipline before they choose to invest.

    Photo by National Cancer Institute on Unsplash


    Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


    The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.

    An Inside Peek into the Mind of an Individual LP | Susan Kimberlin | Superclusters | S3E7

    Susan Kimberlin builds and invests in things that are Good & Useful. She is an angel investor, limited partner and product leader with a career that is equal parts building SaaS software products, and investing in companies, funds, teams, and projects that promote social equity with practical solutions for real-world problems. She is committed to bringing more diverse people into investing and the innovation economy. With a background in building search and natural language products for companies like PayPal and Salesforce, she leverages her experience to help her portfolio companies with product and fundraising strategies. Susan believes that bringing diverse perspectives to creative and practical challenges is the best way to create durable and impactful change.

    In addition to her tech roles, Susan co-owns and manages Tammberlin Vineyards, growing Rhône wine varietals in Bennett Valley, Sonoma County. She works on documentary and narrative film projects as an executive producer, supporting creative projects that raise awareness, start conversations, and bring joy. She is a lifelong singer, and has been singing with pop a cappella group The Loose Interpretations for nearly 20 years.

    You can find Susan on her socials here:
    Twitter: https://x.com/susansearchpro
    LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/susankimberlin/
    Substack: https://goodanduseful.substack.com/

    And huge thanks to this episode’s sponsor, Alchemist Accelerator: https://alchemistaccelerator.com/superclusters

    Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also watch the episode on YouTube here.

    Brought to you by Alchemist Accelerator.

    OUTLINE:

    [00:00] Intro
    [02:51] What are madrigals?
    [10:10] How to balance high expectations for your team and the trust that they will get there
    [14:53] How does Susan recognize drive and excellence in others?
    [21:49] What made Susan’s founding LP check in Backstage Capital so unique?
    [26:01] Difference between LP stakes and GP stakes
    [38:51] The smokes and mirrors behind the first pitch
    [43:54] Susan’s investment strategy as an individual LP?
    [50:21] What topic would Susan give a TED talk in that’s not startups or venture?
    [59:24] Thank you to Alchemist Accelerator for sponsoring!
    [1:00:25] If you enjoyed this episode, could you share this with one other friend?

    SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

    SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

    “Communication between us is the definition of our experience in the world.” – Susan Kimberlin


    Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
    For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
    Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
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    The Art and Science of Reference Checks | Raida Daouk | Superclusters | S3E6

    raida daouk

    Raida Daouk started her career in banking before moving to the investment team of BY Venture Partner, a venture fund with offices in Beirut and Abu Dhabi. She quickly climbed the ranks within the company and ultimately became a Venture Partner.

    Recognizing a void in the market for personalized venture consulting services, Raida established Amkan Advisory, a boutique consultancy firm specializing in assisting family offices and high-net-worth individuals in identifying venture funds that align with their specific strategies. Given that first-time fund managers often possess the most aligned incentives with their investors, she understood the significant value they bring to the venture capital landscape. However, Raida also understood the reluctance of family offices to commit capital to relatively unproven managers. By curating a portfolio of carefully selected funds, she aims to mitigate the perceived risk associated with investing in first-time managers while still accessing the high-growth potential of emerging ventures.

    Amkan Ventures emerged to offer LPs access to emerging managers beyond their direct reach. Focusing on small Funds I and II led by ambitious managers with a conviction-driven approach, the firm prioritizes delivering returns and nurturing opportunities in the venture arena.

    Amkan Ventures’ first close occurred in April 2024, with one investment already made in a $30M fund I out of NY and one more about to be announced.

    Raida currently serves on the Selection Committees of RAISE Global and The Bridge Platform.

    You can find Raida on her socials here:
    LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raidadaouk/
    Amkan Ventures: https://www.amkanventures.com/

    And huge thanks to this episode’s sponsor, Alchemist Accelerator: https://alchemistaccelerator.com/superclusters

    Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also watch the episode on YouTube here.

    Brought to you by Alchemist Accelerator.

    OUTLINE:

    [00:00] Intro
    [02:45] The impact of biology on Raida’s career
    [06:24] If Raida were to teach a founder psychology course
    [08:42] Raida’s definition of “running through walls”
    [10:16] Similarities and differences between founders and fund managers
    [11:36] What does GP-thesis fit look like?
    [14:38] How Raida got to a yes on Nebular Ventures?
    [20:35] The personas of different kinds of references
    [26:05] The one question that Raida always asks during reference calls
    [28:31] Is there such a thing as too many references?
    [31:57] What if you don’t have a network of references as an LP?
    [35:26] How does one set up the venture arm of a family office?
    [40:28] What is the GCC?
    [43:58] The best way to build relationships in the GCC
    [47:54] The origin story of Amkan Ventures
    [52:19] How did Raida build a strong understanding of the foodtech space?
    [53:58] Where did Amkan’s name come from?
    [58:26] What fund is in Raida’s anti-portfolio?
    [1:00:30] What’s Raida’s take on solo GPs?
    [1:03:10] How does your mindset change as an LP if you had evergreen capital?
    [1:06:58] Thank you to Alchemist Accelerator for sponsoring!
    [1:07:59] If you enjoyed this episode, it would mean a lot if you could share this with one other friend!

    SELECT LINKS FROM THIS EPISODE:

    SELECT QUOTES FROM THIS EPISODE:

    “It’s always best to start the relationship when there is no ask.” – Raida Daouk

    “The average length of a VC fund is double that of a typical American marriage. So VC splits – divorce – is much more likely than getting hit by a bus.” – Raida Daouk

    “The more constraints you have, the more conviction you will have in each manager.” – Raida Daouk


    Follow David Zhou for more Superclusters content:
    For podcast show notes: https://cupofzhou.com/superclusters
    Follow David Zhou’s blog: https://cupofzhou.com
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    DGQ 22: If you were hiring someone underneath this person, what skills would they have?

    hire

    I’ve had Harry’s episode with Peter Lacaillade under my saved episode list on Spotify for a long minute. And Benedikt Langer‘s semi-recent piece on Embracing Emergence finally got me over the activation energy to listen to it. (Sorry, Harry)

    But I’m so glad I did. In it, Harry shared a question he likes asking “If we were hiring someone underneath me to support him, what skills would they have?” In many ways, it’s the same as another question Doug Leone shared on his podcast as well. What three adjectives would you use to describe your sibling?

    It comes down to simple purpose of trying to ask about someone’s weakness without asking them “what’s your weakness?” Why does it matter? When you’re too forward with your question, say the weakness one, recipients always end up finding ways to explain their “weakness” as a byproduct of their strength, or not really sharing a true weakness. “I’m too honest.” “I work too hard.” And so on.

    While the above set of questions may not work for everyone, and probably even less so now that Harry and Doug shared it in a public arena, I can’t help but appreciate the linguistic gymnastics to find the right combination of words that gets one the answer they want. Nevertheless, I’m sure there are many more on this planet who still have yet to be exposed to those questions.

    Similarly, I find it to be a damn good question to ask when doing references on potential investments. The truth is every founder or GP one invests in will have weaknesses. And that’s okay. Everyone’s a human. But in reference calls, there are two hurdles that one most overcome in their diligence:

    1. Getting the reference to share an honest assessment of the person they know. This is especially hard when these are on-list references. In other words, references that the person being diligenced is providing themselves. Naturally, this list is full of people who are almost guaranteed to say positive things about said individual. Besides, there is absolutely no incentive to badmouth another person. Neither do most people aim to do so.
    2. How high on the priority list is this person’s weakness? Can I get conviction on this deal even if I were to accept this weakness? Does it matter as much in a Fund I? Fund II? Fund III? If they need to hire someone to fundraise for them, is that a question of ability or network? And how crucial is it not only to the firm’s survival, but also their outperformance? If they need to hire someone to manage their calendar, that may be lower on the priority list of risks for most LPs.

    Nevertheless, I find Harry’s question a great one to ask former colleagues, occasionally portfolio or anti-portfolio founders.

    Photo by Clem Onojeghuo on Unsplash


    The DGQ series is a series dedicated to my process of question discovery and execution. When curiosity is the why, DGQ is the how. It’s an inside scoop of what goes on in my noggin’. My hope is that it offers some illumination to you, my readers, so you can tackle the world and build relationships with my best tools at your disposal. It also happens to stand for damn good questions, or dumb and garbled questions. I’ll let you decide which it falls under.


    Stay up to date with the weekly cup of cognitive adventures inside venture capital and startups, as well as cataloging the history of tomorrow through the bookmarks of yesterday!


    The views expressed on this blogpost are for informational purposes only. None of the views expressed herein constitute legal, investment, business, or tax advice. Any allusions or references to funds or companies are for illustrative purposes only, and should not be relied upon as investment recommendations. Consult a professional investment advisor prior to making any investment decisions.